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best | weather pro

55 picks32–21 record60% success · 53 graded2 open+8.7u profit · +17%/call

Wins 32

  • WINYes — Arne Slot out as Liverpool HC by May 31 · May 21 · sacked May 30 · msg+138%@42¢
  • WINNo — Will Sinner win Roland Garros 2026? · May 28 · Sinner out in R2 · msg+127%@44¢
  • WINArnaldi — RG — Arnaldi v Tsitsipas · May 28 · msg+186%@35¢
  • WINRublev — RG — Borges v Rublev · May 28 · msg+37%@73¢
  • WINCarreño Busta — RG — Tirante v Carreño Busta · May 28 · msg+213%@32¢
  • WINCobolli — RG — Cobolli v Tien · May 30 · msg+56%@64¢
  • WINComesaña — RG — Comesaña v Darderi · May 28 · Comesaña won (market resolved Comesaña; both set-handicaps agree) — was misgraded loss until the Jun 11 results audit · msg+170%@37¢
  • WINPSG — UEFA Champions League — Winner · May 23 · PSG won final, 4-3 on pens · msg+75%@57¢
  • WINKvaratskhelia / Kane — UCL — Most Goal Contributions · May 23 · resolved Harry Kane · msg+163%@38¢
  • WINTiafoe — RG — Faria v Tiafoe · May 30 · Tiafoe won · msg+56%@64¢
  • WINJodar — RG — Jodar v Carreño Busta · May 31 · Jodar won (opp. injured) · msg+72%@58¢
  • WINZverev — RG — Jodar v Zverev · Jun 1 · “ZVEREV TO WIN” · Zverev won in 4 sets — market resolved Alexander Zverev · msg+35%@74¢
  • WINNY & Cleveland — 2026 NBA Champion · May 19 · NY (Knicks) won the 2026 title — Jupiter NY Knicks result:yes, gamma resolved ["1","0"]; Cleveland did not win (result:no). Graded WIN on the led-with NY leg. · msg
  • WINde Minaur — Libema Open — Damm v de Minaur · Jun 9 · “big gap here so going with de minuar 78c” · de Minaur won (market resolved de Minaur) · msg+28%@78¢
  • WINVekić — HSBC Championships — Bouzkova v Vekić · Jun 10 · “Donna Vekic, who has a superior track record on grass courts — DONNA VEKIC 41C” · Vekic won (Jupiter res:yes) · msg+144%@41¢
  • WINSiegemund — HSBC Championships — Siegemund v Jones · Jun 8 · “LAURA TO WIN 70C” · won 6-2 6-3 (FINAL) · msg+43%@70¢
  • WINShelton — ATP — Shelton v Giron · Jun 11 · “Shelton B 71C” · Shelton won (Jupiter res:yes) · msg+41%@71¢
  • WINBublik — ATP — Perricard v Bublik · Jun 12 · Jun 12 · “BUBLIK 63C” · jup.ag link + side · settled: Bublik won (gamma moneyline 1.0, uma resolved) · msg+59%@63¢
  • WINJodar — Wimbledon ATP Qual — Jodar v Gill · Jun 28 · Jun 28 · jup.ag link + analysis “…use his superior overall quality to come through with a victory” → “jodar 80c” · backs Rafael Jodar to win · WIN: Jupiter Rafael Jodar result:yes (isLive=false, settled 0¢ buyYes) — Jodar advanced vs Gill · msg+25%@80¢
  • WINCarreno Busta — Wimbledon ATP — Shapovalov v Carreno Busta · Jun 28 · Jun 28 · jup.ag link + analysis “the Spaniard offers solid value as an underdog… Carreno Busta has every chance” → “busta 27c” · backs Pablo Carreno Busta (underdog) to win · WIN: Jupiter Pablo Carreno Busta result:yes (isLive=false, settled 0¢) — Carreno Busta advanced vs Shapovalov · msg+270%@27¢
  • WINJan-Lennard Struff — Wimbledon ATP — Struff v Baez · Jun 28 · Jun 28 · jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639405 + analysis “…Jan-Lennard Struff has the more effective game for grass and arrives with better preparation on the surface, making him the deserved favourite in this Wimbledon first-round clash” → “Jan-Lennard Struff 69C” (author weathernotpro) · backs Struff to win (Struff v Baez, match Jun 29) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 69¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 690000 uUSD · WON: Jupiter event isLive=false, Struff moneyline pinned 100¢ (Baez ~0¢); gamma match resolved (5 sets, Total Sets O/U 4.5 = over) — Struff won · msg+45%@69¢
  • WINAdrian Mannarino — Wimbledon ATP — Mannarino v Droguet · Jun 29 · Jun 29 · jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639467 + analysis “Adrian Mannarino possesses far too much grass-court pedigree, experience, and variety for Titouan Droguet… he should still have enough to overcome the inexperienced Frenchman” → “Adrian Mannarino 64C” (author weathernotpro) · backs Mannarino, Wimbledon R1 · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 64¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 640000 uUSD · WIN — Mannarino won in straight sets (Jupiter buyYes pinned 100¢, isLive=false; gamma moneyline 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed, sets 1–3 resolved Mannarino) · msg+56%@64¢
  • WINAlexander Bublik — Wimbledon ATP — Bublik v Kokkinakis · Jun 29 · Jun 29 · jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639511 + analysis on Bublik/Kokkinakis grass matchup → stated pick “BUBLIK 69C” (author weathernotpro) · backs Bublik, Wimbledon R1 · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 69¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 690000 uUSD · WIN: Jupiter isLive=false, Bublik buyYes pinned 100¢ (Kokkinakis ~0¢); gamma moneyline resolved 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed (Set 1 Kokkinakis, Sets 2/4 Bublik, Set 3 proposed Bublik) — Bublik won · msg+45%@69¢
  • WINDiana Shnaider — Wimbledon WTA — Shnaider v Lys · Jun 30 · Jun 30 · jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639512 (link msg 1521554248326840411) → “DIANA 66C” (msg 1521554303704367315, author weathernotpro) — backs Diana Shnaider, Wimbledon WTA R1 (Shnaider v Lys, slug wta-shnaide-lys-2026-06-29) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 66¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 660000 uUSD · WIN: Jupiter isLive=false, Shnaider side pinned 1000000 uUSD; gamma moneyline Diana Shnaider 0.9995 + set1/set2/−1.5 handicap all Shnaider (straight-sets win), umaResolutionStatus proposed · msg+52%@66¢
  • WINSafiullin — Wimbledon ATP — Safiullin v van de Zandschulp · Jul 1 · Jul 1 · jup.ag link + analysis (“he should hold a clear edge over the out-of-form Botic van de Zandschulp”) → “safiullin 57C” · backs Roman Safiullin · WIN: Safiullin beat van de Zandschulp (gamma resolved) · msg+75%@57¢
  • WINDavidovich Fokina — Wimbledon ATP — Davidovich Fokina v Marozsan · Jul 1 · Jul 1 · jup.ag link + analysis (“Davidovich Fokina looks the more reliable option”, 5-match win streak) → “Alejandro Davidovich 66C” · backs Davidovich Fokina · WIN: beat Marozsan (gamma resolved) · msg+52%@66¢
  • WINBergs — Wimbledon ATP — Bergs v Faria · Jul 2 · Jul 2 · jup.ag link + analysis (“Zizou Bergs has excellent momentum… maiden ATP title… six-match winning streak”) → “Zizou Bergs 63C” · backs Bergs · SOLD EARLY: caller posted “sold at 98c gg if followed” (msg 1522243761034231869) → realized exit 98¢ from 63¢ entry → +56% win · msg+56%@63¢
  • WINJan-Lennard Struff — Wimbledon ATP — Hurkacz v Struff · Jul 5 · Jul 5 · analysis on the Hurkacz/Struff grass matchup → “STRUFF 28C #nfa” + jup.ag/prediction/POLY-663909 (msg 1523235216741761124, author weathernotpro) — backs Jan-Lennard Struff (moneyline, underdog) v Hubert Hurkacz, Wimbledon · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 28¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 280000 microUSD · WIN: Struff beat Hurkacz — Jupiter isLive=false, Struff pinned 100¢ (Hurkacz ~0¢); gamma moneyline Struff 0.9995 / Hurkacz 0.0005 (Set 3 & Set 4 Winner resolved Struff) · msg+257%@28¢
  • WINDavidovich Fokina +2.5 sets — Wimbledon ATP — Auger-Aliassime v Davidovich Fokina · Jul 5 · Jul 5 · analysis backing value on Fokina → “Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +2.5 sets 73C #nfa” + jup.ag/prediction/POLY-663914 (msg 1523235939453763664, author weathernotpro) — handicap/sets line bet on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Felix Auger-Aliassime, Wimbledon · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · line bet not in Jupiter markets[] → graded via gamma set-handicap market · WIN: AA won the R16 3-2 (5 sets; gamma Total Sets Over 4.5 = 0.9995), so Fokina lost by only 1 set and +2.5 covered — gamma “Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Fokina (+2.5)” resolved Fokina 0.9995 (umaStatus proposed) · stated entry 73¢ · msg+37%@73¢
  • WINCobolli +2.5 sets — Wimbledon ATP — de Minaur v Cobolli · Jul 6 · Jul 6 · analysis on the de Minaur/Cobolli grass matchup + jup.ag/prediction/POLY-667549, ending “COBOLLI +2.5 67c #nfa” (msg 1523598002944606228, author weathernotpro) — set-handicap line bet (Cobolli to lose by ≤2 sets) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · line bet not in Jupiter markets[] → graded via gamma set-handicap · stated entry 67¢ · WIN: Cobolli beat de Minaur in straight sets — gamma Set 1/2/3 Winner all Cobolli, “Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)” resolved Cobolli 0.9995 (umaStatus proposed), moneyline Cobolli 0.9995 · msg+49%@67¢
  • WINTaylor Fritz — Wimbledon ATP — Fritz v Bublik · Jul 6 · Jul 6 · analysis on the Fritz/Bublik grass matchup + jup.ag/prediction/POLY-667559, ending “Taylor Fritz 66C #nfa” (msg 1523608402797002812, author weathernotpro) — Taylor Fritz moneyline v Alexander Bublik, Wimbledon (slug atp-fritz-bublik-2026-07-06) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 66¢ · WIN: Fritz def. Bublik — Jupiter buyYes pinned 100¢, gamma 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed · msg+52%@66¢
  • WINLehecka +2.5 sets — Wimbledon ATP — Lehecka v Zverev · Jul 6 · Jul 6 · analysis on the Zverev/Lehecka grass matchup + jup.ag/prediction/POLY-667552, ending “Lehecka +2.5 sets 66c #nfa” (msg 1523609214684233809, author weathernotpro) — set-handicap line bet (Lehecka to lose by ≤2 sets) v Alexander Zverev, Wimbledon (slug atp-lehecka-zverev-2026-07-06) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 66¢ · WIN: gamma “Set 3 Winner: Lehecka” resolved (uma:resolved, closed) → Lehecka won ≥1 set, so a 3-0 Zverev sweep (the only scoreline that loses +2.5) is impossible; gamma Set Handicap Zverev(-2.5) vs Lehecka(+2.5) shows Lehecka side 0.9995 · graded on a box-score fact undecided at pick time · msg+52%@66¢

Losses 21

  • LOSSRublev — RG — Mensik v Rublev · May 31 · Mensik won in 5 (6-3 7-6 4-6 2-6 6-3) · msg-100%@55¢
  • LOSSYes — US–Iran permanent peace deal by May 31 · May 13 · no deal · msg-100%
  • LOSSAcosta — RG — Díaz Acosta v Tien · May 28 · Tien won · msg-100%@21¢
  • LOSSFonseca — RG — Mensik v Fonseca · Jun 2 · Mensik won 6-4 6-3 7-6 7-3 — Fonseca out · msg-100%@67¢
  • LOSSThunder ("champs") — NBA WCF Game 7 — Spurs v Thunder · May 30 · Spurs won G7 111-103; def. champs Thunder lost-100%
  • LOSSCobolli — ATP — Zverev v Cobolli · Jun 7 · “zverev is better but come on cobolli at 17c i had to take”; Zverev won the RG final 6-1 4-6 6-4 6-7⁷ 6-1 · msg-100%@17¢
  • LOSSDart — HSBC Championships — Dart v Rakhimova · Jun 11 · “Harriet Dart is undoubtedly more experienced … on grass” · “Let’s see if hot streak with women continues” · entry from market price at call · Rakhimova won (Jupiter Dart res:no) → loss · msg-100%@55¢
  • LOSSAuger-Aliassime — Libema Open — Auger-Aliassime v Majchrzak · Jun 12 · Jun 12 · “felix 72C” · jup.ag link (POLY-584147) + side · settled: Felix lost (gamma moneyline 0.0005, uma proposed) · msg-100%@72¢
  • LOSSSonego — ATP — Sonego v Basilashvili · Jun 14 · Jun 14 · “https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-591105 sonego 62C” · jup.ag link + side; caller later called it “very bad call by me” (1515687058365087956) · Basilashvili won (Sonego pinned ~0¢, isLive false) · msg-100%@62¢
  • LOSSBasilashvili — Halle Open (ATP) — Basilashvili v Altmaier · Jun 15 · “…Nikoloz Basilashvili’s TO WIN 59C” · Altmaier won · msg-100%@59¢
  • LOSSCobolli — Halle Open (ATP) — Cobolli v Tiafoe · Jun 15 · “…Cobolli 46C” (underdog) · Tiafoe won · msg-100%@46¢
  • LOSSShnaider — Grass Court Championships (WTA) — Bartunkova v Shnaider · Jun 15 · “Diana Shnaider 66C” (favorite) · Bartunkova won (upset) · msg-100%@66¢
  • LOSSTrungelliti — Wimbledon ATP — Trungelliti v Damm · Jun 28 · Jun 28 · jup.ag link + analysis “capable of offering a stern challenge to the inexperienced Damm” → “Marco Trungelliti 25C” · backs Trungelliti (underdog) to win · LOSS: Jupiter Marco Trungelliti result:no, Martin Damm result:yes (isLive=false) — Damm advanced · msg-100%@25¢
  • LOSSChwalinska — Wimbledon WTA — Sawangkaew v Chwalinska · Jun 28 · Jun 28 · jup.ag link + analysis “the Pole will, at best, have even odds” → “Maja Chwalinska 51C” · backs Chwalinska to win · LOSS: Jupiter Maja Chwalinska result:no, Mananchaya Sawangkaew result:yes (isLive=false) — Sawangkaew advanced · msg-100%@51¢
  • LOSSDamir Dzumhur — Wimbledon ATP — Fery v Dzumhur · Jun 29 · Jun 29 · jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639493 + analysis “Arthur Fery… deserved favorite here. However, his odds appear a little too short… Damir Dzumhur… should allow him to stay competitive” → “Damir Dzumhur 22C” (author weathernotpro) · backs Dzumhur (underdog), Wimbledon R1 · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 22¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 220000 uUSD · LOSS — Fery beat Dzumhur: Jupiter Dzumhur buyYes pinned 0.3¢ (isLive=false); gamma Set 1 & Set 2 Winner both resolved Fery, Set 3 Winner Fery 0.9955 proposed, moneyline Fery 0.9975 / Dzumhur 0.0025 → Fery wins straight sets · msg-100%@22¢
  • LOSSAlex Michelsen — Wimbledon ATP — Michelsen v Fearnley · Jun 29 · Jun 29 · jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639518 + analysis “Jacob Fearnley’s current form has not been convincing… Alex Michelsen… should have the quality to handle the current version of Fearnley” → “Alex Michelsen 56C” (author weathernotpro) · backs Michelsen, Wimbledon R1 · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 56¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 560000 uUSD · LOSS — Fearnley won in 5: Jupiter Michelsen buyYes pinned ~0.1¢ (isLive=false); gamma moneyline resolved Fearnley 0.988 / Michelsen 0.012, Sets 1–2 Michelsen but Sets 3–4 Fearnley, Total Sets O/U 4.5 = Over (5 sets) · msg-100%@56¢
  • LOSSBilly Harris — Wimbledon ATP — Khachanov v Harris · Jun 30 · Jun 30 · jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639473 + analysis “Billy Harris, in better overall form, would have had a realistic chance of pulling off an upset, considering Karen Khachanov arrives on a three-match losing streak… Harris has built solid momentum during this grass swing” → stated pick “HARRIS 26C” (author weathernotpro) · backs Harris (underdog), Wimbledon · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 26¢ · LOSS — Khachanov def. Harris 3-0 straight sets (gamma resolved set-winners Khachanov 1/2/3 + ESPN/tennis sources); Harris moneyline pinned ~1.3¢ · msg-100%@26¢
  • LOSSMolcan — Wimbledon ATP — Lehecka v Molcan · Jul 2 · Jul 2 · jup.ag link + analysis (“Lehecka… will need to avoid one of those off days against Alex Molcan, who… is a dangerous opponent”) → “Alex Molcan 20C” · backs Molcan (underdog) · LOSS: Lehecka won the match (Jupiter isLive=false, Molcan pinned ~0¢; gamma moneyline Lehecka 0.9995 / Molcan 0.0005, uma proposed) · msg-100%@20¢
  • LOSSMariam Bolkvadze — WTA — Bolkvadze v Krueger · Jul 2 · Jul 2 · “https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-652813 know nothing about this game but odds doesnt seems right ..mariam 16C #nfa” (author weathernotpro) — backs Mariam Bolkvadze (underdog), WTA Bolkvadze v Krueger · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 16¢ · GRADED loss: Krueger advanced (Jupiter isLive=false, Bolkvadze pinned ~0¢; gamma Bolkvadze 0.0045 / Krueger 0.9955) · msg-100%@16¢
  • LOSSZizou Bergs — Tennis — Fery v Bergs · Jul 3 · Jul 3 · “https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-659211 … Zizou Bergs 56C #nfa” (msg 1522711309068796076, author weathernotpro) — backs Zizou Bergs (moneyline) v Arthur Fery, grass-court tie · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 56¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 560000 microUSD · SETTLED LOSS: match went 2-2 in sets (Bergs won 1&3, Fery won 2&4) then Fery took the deciding set — Jupiter isLive=false, Fery pinned 100¢ / Bergs ~0.1¢; weathernotpro’s own msg 1523020438505259141 “bergz was 96C to win but we going to final tie brake” confirms Bergs lost the decider · msg-100%@56¢
  • LOSSStruff +2.5 sets — Wimbledon ATP — Sinner v Struff · Jul 6 · Jul 6 · analysis on the Sinner/Struff Wimbledon matchup ending “STRUFF +2.5 SETS 40C #nfa” + jup.ag/prediction/POLY-671815 (msg 1523781564188856380, author weathernotpro) — set-handicap line bet (Struff to lose by ≤2 sets, i.e. take at least one set) v Jannik Sinner, Wimbledon (slug atp-sinner-struff-2026-07-07) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · line bet not in Jupiter markets[] → graded via gamma set-handicap · stated entry 40¢ · GRADED LOSS: Sinner swept 3-0 — Jupiter isLive=false, Sinner pinned 100¢ / Struff ~0¢; gamma “Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Struff (+2.5)” resolved Sinner 0.995 (Struff +2.5 = 0.005), Total Sets Under 3.5 = 0.995, Sets 1/2/3 all Sinner → Struff took no set, +2.5 did not cover · msg-100%@40¢

Open / unscorable 2

Outcomes verified against public results. Use the General / World Cup toggle in the header to switch which calls this profile shows. Market links open the Jupiter prediction market; message links open the original call in #prediction-alpha (Jupiter Discord membership required). PnL = return if you’d entered the backed side when the call was posted and held to resolution (@¢ = entry price; win → 100¢, loss → 0¢). Profit = units won with an equal 1u stake per scored call. Losses are −100% (−1u) regardless of entry; wins use the Jupiter Prediction price at call time where available. Because a loss costs a full unit while a win on a heavy favorite pays only a little, a high win-rate can still net negative profit — success% and profit measure different things.