Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Original Discord message, word for word
https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639518 Jacob Fearnley\'s current form has not been convincing enough to make him a strong contender in a Grand Slam main-draw match. Therefore, much depends on Alex Michelsen\'s fitness. If he has used the extended break after the French Open to recover fully from the physical issues that hampered him in Paris and arrives in optimal condition, he should have the quality to handle the current version of Fearnley, even at Wimbledon, where he is still searching for his first main-draw victory.Alex Michelsen 56C
Record
- Posted
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 21:09:42 UTC
- Event start
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 11:45:00 UTC
- Entry
- 56¢
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
v1 grading note: Jun 29 · jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639518 + analysis “Jacob Fearnley’s current form has not been convincing… Alex Michelsen… should have the quality to handle the current version of Fearnley” → “Alex Michelsen 56C” (author weathernotpro) · backs Michelsen, Wimbledon R1 · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 56¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 560000 uUSD · LOSS — Fearnley won in 5: Jupiter Michelsen buyYes pinned ~0.1¢ (isLive=false); gamma moneyline resolved Fearnley 0.988 / Michelsen 0.012, Sets 1–2 Michelsen but Sets 3–4 Fearnley, Total Sets O/U 4.5 = Over (5 sets)
Verification details
- Message id
1521261405259698359open in Discord ↗ (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-639518jup.ag ↗- Capture
- Jun 29 · jup.ag/prediction/POLY-639518 + analysis “Jacob Fearnley’s current form has not been convincing… Alex Michelsen… should have the quality to handle the current version of Fearnley” → “Alex Michelsen 56C” (author weathernotpro) · backs Michelsen, Wimbledon R1 · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 56¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 560000 uUSD · LOSS — Fearnley won in 5: Jupiter Michelsen buyYes pinned ~0.1¢ (isLive=false); gamma moneyline resolved Fearnley 0.988 / Michelsen 0.012, Sets 1–2 Michelsen but Sets 3–4 Fearnley, Total Sets O/U 4.5 = Over (5 sets)
#116). Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.