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Matador
37 picks23–14 record62% success · 37 graded0 open+6.8u profit · +20%/call
Wins 23
- WINKolar −1.5 — RG — McCabe v Kolar · May 19 · 6-3 7-6 · msg+52%@66¢
- WINPavlovic — RG — Pavlovic v Wendelken · May 19 · msg+59%@63¢
- WINHolmgren — RG Qual — Holmgren v Jade · May 20 · msg+27%@79¢
- WINKudermetova — RG — Kudermetova v Koevermans · May 19 · msg+47%@68¢
- WINRodionov — RG — Gojo v Rodionov · May 22 · msg+82%@55¢
- WINCina — RG — Cina v Opelka · May 24 · msg+61%@62¢
- WINBlockx −1.5 — RG — Blockx v Wong · May 24 · won in straights · msg+30%@77¢
- WINNakashima — RG — Bautista Agut v Nakashima · May 25 · msg+32%@76¢
- WINPotapova −1.5 — RG — Joint v Potapova · May 25 · 6-1 6-2 · msg+47%@68¢
- WINArnaldi — RG — Griekspoor v Arnaldi · May 26 · msg+79%@56¢
- WINKalinskaya — RG — Kalinskaya v Boisson · May 26 · 6-2 6-2 · msg+61%@62¢
- WINCerundolo — RG — Sinner v Cerundolo · May 28 · upset — Sinner out · msg+1011%@9¢
- WINPotapova — RG — Boulter v Potapova · May 28 · msg+35%@74¢
- WINFirecracker then Noir — The Boys S5 — death order · May 6 · msg
- WINSoldier Boy won’t appear — The Boys S5 — finale · May 15 · msg
- WINSouthampton NO — EFL Championship — Team promoted to EPL · May 14 · Southampton expelled (Spygate) → Hull promoted · msg+150%@40¢
- WINRublev — RG — Borges v Rublev · May 29 · entered pre-match ~73¢ · msg+37%@73¢
- WINCobolli −1.5 — RG — Cobolli v Svajda · May 31 · 6-2 6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(5) — won 3-1, covers −1.5 · msg+35%@74¢
- WINAuger-Aliassime — RG — Auger-Aliassime v Tabilo · Jun 1 · Auger-Aliassime def. Tabilo · msg+59%@63¢
- WINCobolli — RG — Auger-Aliassime v Cobolli · Jun 3 · “Prediction: Cobolli wins this match” — Cobolli def. Auger-Aliassime 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 · msg+100%@50¢
- WINGriekspoor — Libema Open — Griekspoor v Van de Zandschulp · Jun 9 · “My prediction is Griekspoor winning this match” · great serve, grass season · won in 3 (suspended overnight, market resolved Griekspoor) · entry from market price at call · msg+52%@66¢
- WINAndreeva — RG WTA Final — Andreeva v Chwalinska · Jun 4 · “andreeva plays more offense with stronger strikes … I dont think Maja can handle her” · Andreeva won 2-0 · msg+28%@78¢
- WINOver 2.5 — Soccer — Stjarnan v Vikingur — total goals · Jul 9 · Jul 9 · “Stjarnan vs Vikingur / Over 2.5 goals / … #nfa” · UEFA Conference League 1st qual. leg (Stjarnan Gardabae v Vikingur Gota), not listed on jup.ag so no entry obtainable; graded from official final score · CORRECTED Jul 9: was wrongly graded loss off a PRE-MATCH “aggregate 0-0” preview line — the match actually finished with 3+ goals (beIN 2nd-leg page shows aggregate Vikingur 1–3 Stjarnan after leg one, i.e. 3-1; community reported 2-1 in-play before a late goal). Over 2.5 covered → WIN. Flagged by AG. · msg
Losses 14
- Rublev — RG — Mensik v Rublev · May 31 · Mensik won in 5 (6-3 7-6 4-6 2-6 6-3) · msg-100%@55¢
- Keys — RG — Keys v Shnaider · May 31 · Shnaider won 3-6 6-3 0-6 · msg-100%@58¢
- Potapova — RG — Potapova v Kalinskaya · May 31 · Kalinskaya won 6-4 2-6 7-6 7-6 · msg-100%@66¢
- Cerundolo — RG — Cerundolo v Berrettini · May 31 · Berrettini won — Cerundolo resolved 0¢ · msg-100%@42¢
- Fritz −1.5 — RG — Fritz v Basavareddy · May 24 · Fritz lost · msg-100%@65¢
- Jeanjean — RG — Quevedo v Jeanjean · May 25 · msg-100%@54¢
- Ruud −2.5 — RG — Ruud v Safiullin · May 25 · won in 4, not 3-0 · msg-100%@50¢
- Čilić −1.5 — RG — Čilić v Kouame · May 26 · Čilić lost · msg-100%@63¢
- Bublik −1.5 — RG — Bublik v Struff · May 26 · Bublik lost · msg-100%@63¢
- Starodubtseva — RG — Wang v Starodubtseva · May 29 · folded both sets-100%@62¢
- Jović — RG — Jović v Osaka · May 30 · folded in 3rd set-100%@48¢
- Dzumhur — ATP Prostejov — Daniel v Dzumhur · Jun 4 · “My prediction is Dzumhur winning” — Daniel won 6-4 4-6 6-3 · msg-100%@67¢
- Medvedev −1.5 — Halle Open (ATP) — Altmaier v Medvedev · Jun 19 · Jun 19 · “Medvedev vs Altmaier … my prediction is: Medvedev -1.5” · set-handicap spread (gamma “Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)”), graded via gamma · captured via Chrome real-time scan · entry from market price at capture (Medvedev -1.5 = 62.5¢) · LOSS: Altmaier won Set 1 (gamma “Set 1 Winner” resolved Altmaier), so Medvedev −1.5 (needs a 2-0 sweep) is mathematically impossible; gamma Set Handicap Medvedev(-1.5) pinned 0.0005 / Altmaier(+1.5) 0.9995 · msg-100%@63¢
- Alexander Blockx — Croatia Open — Droguet v Blockx · Jul 14 · Jul 14 · “Droguet vs Blockx … My prediction Blockx winning this one #nfa #dyor” (author matador5517) — Alexander Blockx moneyline v Titouan Droguet, Croatia Open (slug atp-droguet-blockx-2026-07-13) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · no entry stated → entry from market price at capture (Jupiter Blockx buyYes 630000 microUSD ≈ 63¢) · GRADED loss Jul 14: match settled, Droguet won (Jupiter isLive=false, Blockx pinned 1000 microUSD ≈ 0¢; gamma moneyline Droguet 0.9915 / Blockx 0.0085, set markets resolved/proposed). · msg-100%@63¢
Outcomes verified against public results. Use the General / World Cup toggle in the header to switch which calls this profile shows. Market links open the Jupiter prediction market; message links open the original call in #prediction-alpha (Jupiter Discord membership required). PnL = return if you’d entered the backed side when the call was posted and held to resolution (@¢ = entry price; win → 100¢, loss → 0¢). Profit = units won with an equal 1u stake per scored call. Losses are −100% (−1u) regardless of entry; wins use the Jupiter Prediction price at call time where available. Because a loss costs a full unit while a win on a heavy favorite pays only a little, a high win-rate can still net negative profit — success% and profit measure different things.