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gianlucabruno3

90 picks52–37 record58% success · 89 graded0 open-3.1u profit · -4%/call

Wins 52

  • WINAndreeva — RG — Andreeva v Cirstea · Jun 2 · “my only pick for today was on andreeva” · Andreeva def. Cirstea 6-0 6-3 · msg
  • WINRocha — Perugia Challenger — Rocha v Bertola · Jun 5 · “I’ve bought Rocha LIVE … Rocha is a good player on clay imo and he deserves this W” — bought in-play · Rocha won 6-2 4-6 6-2 (advances) · msg+72%@58¢
  • WINEala — Birmingham (WTA) — Eala v Sawangkaew · Jun 5 · “joining LIVE on Eala (72c atm) … she is one of the favourite to win the tournament imo · EALA W” — bought in-play · Eala won 6-3 6-2 (market closed FINAL, awaiting settlement) · msg+39%@72¢
  • WINEala — Birmingham (WTA) — Eala v Masarova · Jun 6 · “Eala W” · thinks Eala wins the tournament; tougher opponent, likely 3 sets · Eala won 6-2 4-6 6-3 (market closed FINAL) · msg+69%@59¢
  • WINSafiullin — Stuttgart Open Qual — Safiullin v Bar Biryukov · Jun 6 · “Safiullin W” · bought LIVE (53c) after dropping set 1 in a tie-break; thinks he takes set 2 easily; low stake (~$40) · Safiullin won (market resolved Roman Safiullin) · msg+89%@53¢
  • WINAndreeva −1.5 sets — RG WTA Final — Andreeva v Chwalinska · Jun 6 · “Andreeva -1.5 handicap set” · “Andreeva is on another level”; $50 · won 2-0 (straight sets), covers −1.5 · msg+67%@60¢
  • WINTimofeeva — Makarska — Sorribes Tormo v Timofeeva · Jun 6 · “Timofeeva W (live) … Another easy W” · bought LIVE; market resolved Maria Timofeeva · msg+47%@68¢
  • WINIlagan — Tyler — Karl Poling v Andre Ilagan · Jun 6 · “Ilagan W (LIVE) … Sorry another W” · bought LIVE, low stake · msg+92%@52¢
  • WINRomero Gormaz — Foggia — Bronzetti v Romero Gormaz · Jun 6 · “Romero Gormaz W 65c LIVE … easy and fast W” · bought LIVE; match FINAL, Romero Gormaz advanced · msg+54%@65¢
  • WINBaez — Prostejov — Baez v Molcan · Jun 7 · “Baez W” · final; thinks 59c to Baez (a clay player) is mispriced, “can’t skip it” · Baez won (market closed 100¢) · msg+69%@59¢
  • WINRomano — Ilkley — Felix Gill v Filippo Romano · Jun 9 · “Romano W 55c … comes from good matches, I think the odds are not 100% right” · just an attempt · Romano def. Gill (gamma 0.9995, uma proposed) · msg+82%@55¢
  • WINStruff — Stuttgart Open — Jan-Lennard Struff v Alexis Galarneau · Jun 9 · “Struff W 67c … Struff is the favourite one and I think we can win” · Struff def. Galarneau (market FINAL, resolved Struff) · msg+49%@67¢
  • WINJovic — HSBC Championships — Jovic v Eala · Jun 10 · “Jovic W 62c” · won — Jovic market pinned 100¢, gamma 0.9995 (proposed) · msg+61%@62¢
  • WINPerricard — Stuttgart Open — Mpetshi Perricard v Onclin · Jun 10 · “Perricard W 63c” · won — Set1/match pinned 100¢, gamma 0.9995 (proposed) · msg+59%@63¢
  • WINCoppejans — Lyon — Moro Canas v Coppejans · Jun 10 · “Coppejans W” · LOW STAKE · no entry stated, match already live at capture so current price ≠ at-call price · won — Coppejans gamma 0.9995 (proposed) · msg+104%@49¢
  • WINMannarino — Libema Open — Zhizhen Zhang v Mannarino · Jun 12 · “Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino · Mannarino W · 60c” · jup.ag link + stated side · Mannarino won (Jupiter res:yes, Zhang res:no) · msg+67%@60¢
  • WINCecchinato — Parma — Cecchinato v Bondioli · Jun 17 · Jun 17 · “Prediction: Marco Cecchinato … Cecchinato had back problems yesterday … but then he found his form … So we’ll take Cecchinato” · jup.ag link (POLY-601575) + side · entry from market price at capture · Cecchinato won — Jupiter isLive=false, Cecchinato pinned 100¢/Bondioli 0.1¢; gamma main 0.991 + Set 1 Winner resolved Cecchinato · msg+59%@63¢
  • WINDomingues — ITF Lourinha — Mario Gonzalez Fernandez v Joao Domingues · Jun 18 · Jun 18 · “attempt here: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez – Joao Domingues · Domingues W” · captured via Chrome real-time · not on Jupiter events API (event_not_found) → graded via gamma (event 607106, Domingues moneyline 0.58 at capture) · entry from market price at capture · WIN: Domingues beat Fernandez 2-1 (gamma moneyline Domingues 0.995, umaStatus proposed; Set 1 Domingues, Set 2 Fernandez, Total Sets Over 2.5) · msg+72%@58¢
  • WINFederico Cinà — Wimbledon Qual — Cadenasso v Cina · Jun 22 · Jun 22 · “Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Federico Cina · Federico Cinà W · 72c … little bit late because the odds dead already, be careful cause Cadenasso comes from an injury (problem to right wrist)” · jup.ag link (POLY-619222) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 72c stated · WON: Jupiter isLive=false, Cinà pinned 100¢; gamma 0.9995 + uma proposed · msg+39%@72¢
  • WINBilly Harris — Wimbledon Qual — Napolitano v Harris · Jun 22 · Jun 22 · “Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Stefano Napolitano vs Billy Harris · Harris W · 78c … Little bit late here too cause Napolitano comes from a quadriceps injury but I don’t think he will retire … if you go to play, you have to play unless there are very big problems” · jup.ag link (POLY-619276) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 78c stated · WON: gamma moneyline Harris pinned 0.9995, umaResolutionStatus proposed (Jupiter event removed from active API) · msg+28%@78¢
  • WINHarold Mayot — Wimbledon Qual — Moreno De Alboran v Mayot · Jun 22 · Jun 22 · “Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Harold Mayot · Mayot W · 67c · De Alboran played only one match in three months and in Paris he didn’t look in good shape at all” · jup.ag link (POLY-619163) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 67c stated · WON: Mayot won — Jupiter market result:yes; gamma moneyline outcomes [Moreno De Alboran, Mayot] prices [0,1], umaResolutionStatus resolved · msg+49%@67¢
  • WINYi Zhou — Wimbledon Qual — Den Ouden v Zhou · Jun 22 · Jun 22 · “Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Yi Zhou · Zhou W · 59c · Zhou has been playing well lately and he plays against player who is not suited to this surface (grass), imo there is value in the odds” · jup.ag link (POLY-619274) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 59c stated · WON: Zhou won — Jupiter Zhou buyYes pinned 100¢; gamma moneyline outcomes [Den Ouden, Zhou] prices [0.0005, 0.9995] + Set 1 Winner resolved Zhou, umaResolutionStatus proposed · msg+69%@59¢
  • WINNesterov — Plovdiv — Daniel Dutra da Silva v Petr Nesterov · Jun 23 · Jun 23 · “Plovdiv: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Petr Nesterov · Nesterov W · 60c · LIVE” · jup.ag link (POLY-616687) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 60c stated (market price Nesterov 57¢ at capture) · GRADED WIN: Jupiter isLive=false, Nesterov pinned 100¢ (Silva ~0¢); gamma cross-check moneyline 0.9995 Nesterov, Set-1 sub-markets resolved + “Completed Match: Yes” 0.995 · msg+67%@60¢
  • WINSchoolkate — Wimbledon Qual — Daniel Evans v Tristan Schoolkate · Jun 24 · Jun 24 · “Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Daniel Evans vs Tristan Schoolkate · Schoolkate W · 62c” · jup.ag link (POLY-622677) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 62c stated (market backed-side price 62¢ confirms) · SETTLED: Schoolkate def. Evans — Jupiter isLive=false, Schoolkate pinned 100¢; gamma ML Schoolkate 0.9985, umaResolutionStatus proposed → WIN · msg+61%@62¢
  • WINZheng — Wimbledon Qual — Laslo Djere v Michael Zheng · Jun 24 · Jun 24 · “Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Michael Zheng · Zheng W · 56c” · jup.ag link (POLY-622652) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 56c stated (market backed-side price 56¢ confirms) · GRADED WIN: Jupiter isLive=false, Zheng pinned 100¢ (Djere ~0¢); gamma ML Zheng 0.99 umaResolutionStatus=proposed + Set-1 Winner resolved Zheng · msg+79%@56¢
  • WINZheng — Wimbledon Qual — Colton Smith v Michael Zheng · Jun 25 · Jun 25 · “Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Michael Zheng · Zheng W · 58c” · jup.ag link (POLY-629975) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 58c stated · WON: Zheng pinned 100¢ on Jupiter, gamma moneyline 0.9995 (proposed) · msg+72%@58¢
  • WINRuziboev — UFC Fight Night — Ruziboev v Pulyaev · Jun 27 · Jun 27 · “Ruziboev W / 63c” + jup.ag link · UFC middleweight prelim · WIN: Ruziboev def. Pulyaev (gamma resolved) · msg+59%@63¢
  • WINAlmabayev — UFC Fight Night — Almabayev v Johnson · Jun 27 · Jun 27 · “Almabayev W / 74c” + jup.ag link · UFC flyweight main card · WIN: Almabayev def. Johnson (gamma resolved) · msg+35%@74¢
  • WINAuger-Aliassime — Wimbledon ATP — Auger-Aliassime v Davidovich Fokina · Jul 5 · Jul 5 · “Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina / Aliassime W / 61c” + jup.ag link (POLY-663914) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Auger-Aliassime moneyline v Davidovich Fokina, Wimbledon · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 61¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 610000 microUSD · WIN: Jupiter isLive=false with AA pinned 100¢; gamma moneyline AA 0.9995 (umaStatus proposed) — AA won the R16 3-2 · msg+64%@61¢
  • WINCoco Gauff — Wimbledon WTA — Bencic v Gauff · Jul 5 · Jul 5 · “Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff / Gauff W / 50c” + jup.ag link (POLY-663906) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Coco Gauff moneyline v Belinda Bencic, Wimbledon (slug wta-bencic-gauff-2026-07-05) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 50¢ matches Jupiter Gauff buyYes 500000 microUSD at capture · WIN: Jupiter isLive=false, Gauff pinned 100¢ (Bencic ~0¢); gamma moneyline Gauff 0.9995, Completed Match resolved — Gauff won · msg+100%@50¢
  • WINMarta Kostyuk — Wimbledon WTA — Krueger v Kostyuk · Jul 6 · Jul 6 · “Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta Kostyuk / Kostyuk W / 68c” + jup.ag link (POLY-666471) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Marta Kostyuk moneyline v Ashlyn Krueger, Wimbledon (slug wta-krueger-kostyuk-2026-07-05) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 68¢ matches Jupiter Kostyuk buyYes 680000 microUSD at capture · WIN: Kostyuk beat Krueger — Jupiter isLive=false, Kostyuk market result=yes (buyYes pinned, Krueger result=no) · msg+47%@68¢
  • WINLehecka −1.5 set — Wimbledon ATP — Lehecka v Munar · Jul 4 · (moved from macximus — ClickHouse author is gianlucabruno3; misattribution flagged by macximus) Jul 4 · “Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munar / Lehecka -1.5 set / 60c” + jup.ag link (POLY-660307) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — set-handicap spread (Lehecka to win by 1.5 sets), graded via gamma · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 60¢ · WON: Lehecka won by ≥2-set margin — gamma “Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5)” = Lehecka 0.9995, umaStatus proposed (−2.5 handicap lost at 0.0005) · graded 2026-07-04 · msg+67%@60¢
  • WINCobolli — Wimbledon ATP — Khachanov v Cobolli · Jul 4 · (moved from macximus — ClickHouse author is gianlucabruno3; misattribution flagged by macximus) Jul 4 · “Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobolli / Cobolli W / 41c” + jup.ag link (POLY-660303) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Cobolli moneyline · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 41¢ · WIN: Cobolli beat Khachanov (Jupiter isLive=false, Cobolli buyYes pinned 100¢; gamma moneyline Cobolli 0.9995, umaResolutionStatus proposed) · msg+144%@41¢
  • WINCoco Gauff — Wimbledon WTA — Pegula v Gauff · Jul 7 · Jul 7 · “Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff / Gauff W / 41c” + jup.ag link (POLY-671820) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Coco Gauff moneyline v Jessica Pegula, Wimbledon · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 41¢ matches Jupiter Gauff buyYes 410000 microUSD at capture · GRADED WIN: Gauff won 2-1 in sets (Pegula took Set 1, Gauff Sets 2 & 3 — gamma set-1/set-2 winners resolved + Total Sets Over 2.5 proposed = 3 sets); Gauff moneyline pinned 0.9995 with umaResolutionStatus proposed, Jupiter isLive=false · msg+144%@41¢
  • WINZverev −1.5 set — Wimbledon ATP — Fery v Zverev · Jul 10 · Jul 10 · “Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev / 1) Zverev -1.5 set / 72c / 2) Zverev -2.5 set (LOW STAKE) / 51c” + jup.ag link (POLY-681993, slug atp-fery-zverev-2026-07-10) (author gianlucabruno3); #NFA in author’s immediately-following msg 1525102165327216822 (same author, same minute — tag attaches per 1B) — set-handicap spread (Zverev to win by ≥2 sets), graded via gamma · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 72¢ · WON: Zverev d. Fery in straight sets (gamma Total Sets Under 3.5 = 0.9995, Set 1/2/3 all Zverev) → 3-0, clears −1.5 handicap; gamma Set Handicap Zverev (-1.5) = 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed · msg+39%@72¢
  • WINZverev −2.5 set — Wimbledon ATP — Fery v Zverev · Jul 10 · Jul 10 · “Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev / 1) Zverev -1.5 set / 72c / 2) Zverev -2.5 set (LOW STAKE) / 51c” + jup.ag link (POLY-681993, slug atp-fery-zverev-2026-07-10) (author gianlucabruno3); #NFA in author’s immediately-following msg 1525102165327216822 (same author, same minute — tag attaches per 1B) — set-handicap spread (Zverev to win by ≥3 sets, LOW STAKE), graded via gamma · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 51¢ · WON: Zverev won 3-0 in straight sets (gamma Total Sets Under 3.5 = 0.9995), clears −2.5 handicap; gamma Set Handicap Zverev (-2.5) = 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed · msg+96%@51¢
  • WINSinner −2.5 set — Wimbledon ATP — Sinner v Djokovic · Jul 10 · Jul 10 · “Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic / Sinner -2.5 SET / LIVE (LOW STAKE) / 61c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-678139) (author gianlucabruno3) — set-handicap spread (Sinner to win by ≥3 sets), Sinner v Djokovic Wimbledon (slug atp-sinner-djokovi-2026-07-08) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · line bet not in Jupiter markets[] → graded via gamma · stated entry 61¢ · WON: Sinner won 3-0 (gamma “Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)” resolved 1/0 = Sinner covered; Total Sets Under 3.5 = 1, Sets 1/2/3 all Sinner) — clears −2.5 handicap · msg+64%@61¢
  • WINMatias Soto — ATP Bogota — Soto v Claverie · Jul 11 · Jul 11 · “Bogota: Matias Soto vs Lorenzo Claverie / Matias Soto W / 66c” + jup.ag link (POLY-689290, slug atp-soto-claveri-2026-07-11) + “# NFA” (author gianlucabruno3) — Matias Soto moneyline v Lorenzo Claverie · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 66¢ matches Jupiter Soto buyYes 660000 microUSD at capture · WIN: Soto won the match — gamma slug atp-soto-claveri-2026-07-11 Set 1 Winner resolved to Soto (closed), moneyline/Set 2 Winner Soto 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed, Completed Match Yes 0.9975 · msg+52%@66¢
  • WINPaula Badosa — WTA Bastad — Waltert v Badosa · Jul 11 · Jul 11 · “Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosa / BADOSA W / 66c / LIVE” + jup.ag link (POLY-688307, slug wta-waltert-badosa-2026-07-11) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Paula Badosa moneyline v Simona Waltert, WTA Bastad (live) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 66¢ (Jupiter Badosa buyYes 860000 microUSD ≈86¢ at capture, already up after set 1) · WIN: Badosa beat Waltert (gamma moneyline Badosa 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed; Set 1 & set markets resolved to Badosa) · msg+52%@66¢
  • WINNicolas Mejia — ATP Bogota — Mejia v Soto · Jul 12 · Jul 12 · “Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Matias Soto / Mejia W / 67c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-692890, slug atp-mejia-soto-2026-07-12) (author gianlucabruno3) — Nicolas Mejia moneyline v Matias Soto, ATP Bogota · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 67¢ matches Jupiter Mejia buyYes 680000 microUSD ≈68¢ at capture · WIN — Jupiter isLive=false, Mejia buyYes pinned 1000000 microUSD (100¢); gamma moneyline outcomePrices Mejia 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed confirms · msg+49%@67¢
  • WINMarco Trungelliti — Croatia Open — Jacquet v Trungelliti · Jul 13 · Jul 13 · “Croatia Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti / Trungelliti W / 52c” + jup.ag link (POLY-692976) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Marco Trungelliti moneyline v Kyrian Jacquet, Croatia Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 52¢ matches Jupiter Trungelliti buyYes 520000 microUSD at capture · WON: Jupiter isLive=false, Trungelliti buyYes pinned 1000000 microUSD (100¢); gamma cross-check Trungelliti 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed + Set-1 winner market resolved to Trungelliti · msg+92%@52¢
  • WINAugust Holmgren — Granby — Holmgren v Watanuki · Jul 13 · Jul 13 · “Granby: August Holmgren vs Yosuke Watanuki / Holmgren W / 51c” + jup.ag link (POLY-694619, slug atp-holmgre-watanuk-2026-07-13) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — August Holmgren moneyline v Yosuke Watanuki, ATP Challenger Granby · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 51¢ matches Jupiter Holmgren buyYes 508000 microUSD at capture · WIN: Holmgren won the match (Jupiter Holmgren buyYes pinned 1000000 microUSD / gamma moneyline 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed; Total Sets Over 2.5 resolved → 3-set win) · msg+96%@51¢
  • WINThiago Agustin Tirante — Swedish Open — Ofner v Tirante · Jul 14 · Jul 14 · “Swedish Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Thiago Agustin Tirante / Tirante W / 57c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-692921, slug atp-ofner-tirante-2026-07-13) (author gianlucabruno3) — Thiago Agustin Tirante moneyline v Sebastian Ofner, Swedish Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 57¢ · WIN: gamma moneyline Tirante outcomePrice 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed + “Completed Match” market 0.9995 proposed (Jupiter Tirante buyYes 1000000 microUSD) · msg+75%@57¢
  • WINLucia Bronzetti — Palermo — Mazzola v Bronzetti · Jul 14 · Jul 14 · “Rome: Alessandra Mazzola vs Lucia Bronzetti / Bronzetti W / 75c” + jup.ag link (POLY-696668, slug wta-mazzola-bronzet-2026-07-14) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Lucia Bronzetti moneyline v Alessandra Mazzola · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 75¢ matches Jupiter Bronzetti buyYes 760000 microUSD ≈76¢ at capture · WIN — Bronzetti won 2-0 (Jupiter isLive=false, Bronzetti buyYes pinned 100¢; gamma moneyline Bronzetti 0.995, Set 1 Winner Bronzetti resolved, Set 2 Winner Bronzetti — Completed Match) · msg+33%@75¢
  • WINKimmer Coppejans — Bunschoten — Dias v Coppejans · Jul 14 · Jul 14 · “Bunschoten: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Kimmer Coppejans / Coppejans W / 70c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-692962, slug atp-dias-coppeja-2026-07-13) (author gianlucabruno3) — Kimmer Coppejans moneyline v Pedro Boscardin Dias · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 70¢ · WON: Jupiter isLive=false, Coppejans pinned 1000000 microUSD (100¢) / Dias 1000 (0¢); gamma slug atp-dias-coppeja-2026-07-13 moneyline outcomePrices [0.0005, 0.9995] Coppejans, umaResolutionStatus proposed · msg+43%@70¢
  • WINAlexander Shevchenko — Swiss Open — Muller v Shevchenko · Jul 14 · Jul 14 · “Swiss Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alexander Shevchenko / Shevchenko w / 64c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-692892, slug atp-muller-shevche-2026-07-13) (author gianlucabruno3) — Alexander Shevchenko moneyline v Alexandre Muller · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 64¢ matches Jupiter Shevchenko buyYes 640000 microUSD at capture · WIN: Jupiter Shevchenko buyYes pinned 1000000 microUSD (100¢), Muller ~0¢; gamma match market Shevchenko 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed + Set 1 Winner resolved → Shevchenko won · msg+56%@64¢
  • WINCamilo Ugo Carabelli — Croatia Open — Topo v Carabelli · Jul 14 · Jul 14 · “Croatia Open: Marko Topo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli / Carabelli W / 70c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-696617, slug atp-topo-carabel-2026-07-14) (author gianlucabruno3) — Camilo Ugo Carabelli moneyline v Marko Topo · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 70¢ (Jupiter Carabelli buyYes 710000 microUSD ≈71¢ at capture) · WIN: gamma moneyline Carabelli 0.9995, umaResolutionStatus proposed (Jupiter isLive=false) · msg+43%@70¢
  • WINArthur Rinderknech — Swiss Open — Rinderknech v Tabur · Jul 15 · Jul 15 · “Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Tabur / Rinderknech W / 66c” + jup.ag link (POLY-699335, slug atp-rinderk-tabur-2026-07-15) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Arthur Rinderknech moneyline v Clement Tabur, Swiss Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 66¢ matches Jupiter Rinderknech buyYes 660000 microUSD at capture · WIN: Rinderknech beat Tabur — Jupiter buyYes pinned 1000000 (100¢), gamma moneyline outcome 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus=proposed, Set 2 Winner Rinderknech resolved · msg+52%@66¢
  • WINBasilashvili +1.5 set — Swedish Open — Basilashvili v Tirante · Jul 16 · Jul 16 · “Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirante / Basilashvili +1.5 SET” + jup.ag link (POLY-703306, slug atp-basilas-tirante-2026-07-15) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — set-handicap spread (Basilashvili to lose by no more than 1.5 sets, i.e. win ≥1 set), Swedish Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · line bet not in Jupiter markets[] → graded via gamma · entry 55¢ from gamma “Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)” Basilashvili +1.5 side 0.55 at capture · WIN: Basilashvili won ≥1 set (Set 1 Tirante, Set 2 Basilashvili) → +1.5 handicap covers; gamma “Set Handicap … Basilashvili (+1.5)” pinned 0.9995 + “Set 2 Winner: Basilashvili” 0.9995 (2 independent legs) · msg+82%@55¢
  • WINThijs Boogaard — Bunschoten — Campana Lee v Boogaard · Jul 16 · Jul 16 · “Bunschoten: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaard / Boogaard W / 56c” + jup.ag link (POLY-704227, slug atp-gerardc-boogaar-2026-07-16) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Thijs Boogaard moneyline v Gerard Campana Lee, ATP Challenger Bunschoten · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 56¢ (Jupiter Boogaard buyYes 590000 microUSD ≈59¢ at capture) · WON: Jupiter isLive=false, Boogaard pinned 1000000 microUSD (100¢) / Campana Lee 1000 (0¢); gamma cross-check Set 1 Winner=Boogaard + Set 2 Winner=Boogaard both umaResolutionStatus resolved → Boogaard 2-0 (Campana Lee retired after MTO) · msg+79%@56¢
  • WINKrejcikova −1.5 set — Athens Open — Krejcikova v Monnet · Jul 16 · Jul 16 · “Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Carole Monnet / Krejcikova -1.5 SET / 76c” + jup.ag link (POLY-704191, slug wta-krejcik-monnet-2026-07-16) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — set-handicap spread (Krejcikova to win by ≥2 sets) v Carole Monnet, WTA Athens Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · line bet not in Jupiter markets[] → graded via gamma · stated entry 76¢ (Jupiter Krejcikova moneyline buyYes 940000 microUSD ≈94¢ at capture) · GRADED WIN Jul 16 18:09Z — Krejcikova won in straight sets (Total Sets Under 2.5 @0.995), Set Handicap +/-1.5 Krejcikova pinned 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed, match moneyline Krejcikova 0.9995 proposed → −1.5 set covered · msg+32%@76¢
  • WINLuciano Darderi — Swedish Open — Borges v Darderi · Jul 17 · Jul 17 · “Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi / Darderi W / 57c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-707804, slug atp-borges-darderi-2026-07-17) (author gianlucabruno3) — Luciano Darderi moneyline v Nuno Borges, Swedish Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 57¢ matches Jupiter Darderi buyYes 570000 microUSD at capture · WIN: Darderi won — gamma match market Darderi 0.9995, umaResolutionStatus proposed (Jupiter buyYes pinned 1000000 microUSD ≈100¢) · msg+75%@57¢

Losses 37

  • LOSSBartunkova — Birmingham (WTA) — Eala v Bartunkova · Jun 7 · “Bartunkova W” · bought LIVE, low stake ($30); thinks Eala physically compromised (thigh bandage) · Eala won 5-7 6-3 7-5 (advances) — Bartunkova lost · msg-100%@34¢
  • LOSSParks — HSBC Championships Qual — Inglis v Parks · Jun 7 · “Parks W 56c (LIVE)” · bought in-play, low stake; thought Parks should win easily · Inglis won 5-7 6-4 6-4 (advances) — Parks lost · msg-100%@56¢
  • LOSSGrant — Foggia — Romero Gormaz v Grant · Jun 7 · “64c / Grant W” · waited for match start then bought LIVE on Tyra Caterina Grant to win · LOSS: Romero Gormaz won 7-5, 0-6, 6-2 · msg-100%@64¢
  • LOSSHurkacz — Libema Open — Hurkacz v Fucsovics · Jun 9 · “Hurkacz W 67c” · bought LIVE (“Started now”) · settled: Fucsovics won (Hurkacz pinned 1¢, isLive=false) · msg-100%@67¢
  • LOSSDamas — Lyon — Jorda Sanchis v Damas · Jun 11 · “Damas W · 52c” · Jorda Sanchis won (market resolved) · msg-100%@52¢
  • LOSSHumbert — Libema Open — Humbert v Bonzi · Jun 11 · “Humbert W · 57c” · Bonzi won (market resolved Bonzi) · msg-100%@57¢
  • LOSSGuerrieri — Cattolica — Forti v Guerrieri · Jun 12 · Jun 12 · “Guerrieri W 59c” · jup.ag link + side · Forti won (market resolved Forti, Guerrieri=no) · msg-100%@59¢
  • LOSSAnisimova — HSBC Championships — Jovic v Anisimova · Jun 12 · Jun 12 · “HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova · Anisimova W · 58c” · jup.ag link + side · Jovic won (market resolved Jovic, Anisimova=no) · msg-100%@58¢
  • LOSSBublik — Stuttgart Open — Bublik v Fritz · Jun 13 · Jun 13 · “Bublik W · 56c … Fritz comes from a bad period … but Bublik always hard to predict, his mind is strange, so be careful” · jup.ag link (POLY-588565) + side · Fritz won (gamma moneyline Bublik 0 / Fritz 1, uma resolved) · msg-100%@56¢
  • LOSSYastremska — Nottingham Open — Yastremska v Maria · Jun 17 · Jun 17 · “Nottingham Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Tatjana Maria · Yastremska W · 48c … Yastremska has more power and can win if she serves well and keeps errors low” · jup.ag link (POLY-601617) + stated side · Maria won — Jupiter isLive=false, Yastremska pinned 0.1¢ / Maria 100¢ · msg-100%@48¢
  • LOSSSonmez — Nottingham Open — Golubic v Sonmez · Jun 18 · Jun 18 · “Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez · Sonmez W · 61c … Sonmez looks like the slight favorite heading into this match after a huge straight sets upset over n.2 seed Leylah Fernandez in the opening round. If she maintains the aggressive level she displayed against Fernandez, she has a strong chance to edge past Golubic” · jup.ag link (POLY-602601) + stated side · LOSS: Golubic def. Sonmez 7-5 4-6 6-2 (Jupiter Golubic pinned 100¢ / Sonmez ~0¢; Tennis Tonic R2 confirms Golubic advanced) · msg-100%@61¢
  • LOSSLucio Ratti — Royan: Cosme de Ravel vs Lucio Ratti · Jun 19 · Jun 19 · “Royan: Cosme de Ravel vs Lucio Ratti · Lucio Ratti W · 50c” · jup.ag link (POLY-608793) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · LOST: settled isLive=false, Ratti pinned ~0¢ / Cosme de Ravel 100¢ · msg-100%@50¢
  • LOSSTabilo — Mallorca — Marozsan v Tabilo · Jun 23 · Jun 23 · “Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Tabilo · Tabilo W · 58c … Tabilo comes from good matches, he as a good service and a good left handed. Marozsan didn’t start a good year” · jup.ag link (POLY-622576) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 58c stated (market price Tabilo 58¢ confirms) · LOST: Jupiter isLive=false, Tabilo pinned ~0¢ / Marozsan 100¢; gamma cross-check moneyline Marozsan 0.9835 + Set 1 & Set 2 both Marozsan (resolved) · msg-100%@58¢
  • LOSSCerundolo — Eastbourne — Toby Samuel v Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Jun 25 · Jun 25 · “Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Cerundolo W · 53c” · jup.ag link (POLY-629930) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 53c stated (market backed-side price 53¢ confirms) · LOSS: Samuel won in straight sets (gamma match-winner Samuel 0.995 / Cerundolo 0.005, resolved) · msg-100%@53¢
  • LOSSSemenistaja — Wimbledon Qual — Semenistaja v Gasanova · Jun 25 · Jun 25 · “Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Anastasia Gasanova · Semenistaja W · 54c” · jup.ag link (POLY-630955) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 54c stated (market backed-side price 54¢ confirms) · GRADED loss: Jupiter isLive=false, Semenistaja Yes pinned ~0¢ (Gasanova ~100¢) · msg-100%@54¢
  • LOSSBorges — Mallorca — Borges v Quinn · Jun 26 · Jun 26 · “Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Ethan Quinn · Borges W · 58c” · jup.ag link (POLY-633617) + stated side · captured via Chrome real-time · entry 58c stated (Jupiter Borges side 57¢ at capture confirms) · LOSS: Ethan Quinn beat Borges (gamma resolved, Borges side pinned 0) · msg-100%@58¢
  • LOSSBerrettini — Wimbledon ATP — Dimitrov v Berrettini · Jul 4 · (moved from macximus — ClickHouse author is gianlucabruno3; misattribution flagged by macximus) Jul 4 · “Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini / Berrettini W / 59c” + jup.ag link (POLY-660387) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Berrettini moneyline · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 59¢ matches Jupiter buyYes 590000 microUSD · GRADED LOSS: Dimitrov won in 4 sets (Jupiter isLive=false, Dimitrov 100¢ / Berrettini ~0.1¢; gamma sets 1&2 Dimitrov, set 3 Berrettini, total 4 sets → 3-1 Dimitrov) · msg-100%@59¢
  • LOSSNaomi Osaka — Wimbledon WTA — Osaka v Muchova · Jul 7 · Jul 7 · “Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova / Osaka W / 51c” + jup.ag link (POLY-671802) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Naomi Osaka moneyline v Karolina Muchova, Wimbledon · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 51¢ (Jupiter Osaka buyYes 560000 microUSD at capture) · GRADED LOSS: Muchova won — gamma slug wta-osaka-muchova-2026-07-07 moneyline Osaka outcomePrice 0.0005 vs Muchova 0.9995, umaResolutionStatus proposed (Jupiter Osaka buyYes pinned to 1000 microUSD / Muchova 1000000) · msg-100%@51¢
  • LOSSCobolli — Wimbledon ATP — Cobolli v Fery · Jul 8 · Jul 8 · “Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery / 1) Cobolli W / 72c / 2) Cobolli -1.5 set W / 59c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-674518, slug atp-cobolli-fery-2026-07-08) (author gianlucabruno3) — Cobolli moneyline v Arthur Fery, Wimbledon · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 72¢ matches Jupiter Cobolli buyYes 720000 microUSD at capture · LOSS — Fery won: Jupiter isLive=false with Cobolli pinned to ~0.1¢ (Fery 100¢); gamma moneyline Cobolli 0.35¢ / Fery 99.65¢, Set 1 & Set 2 both resolved Fery · msg-100%@72¢
  • LOSSCobolli −1.5 set — Wimbledon ATP — Cobolli v Fery · Jul 8 · Jul 8 · “Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery / 1) Cobolli W / 72c / 2) Cobolli -1.5 set W / 59c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-674518, slug atp-cobolli-fery-2026-07-08) (author gianlucabruno3) — set-handicap spread (Cobolli to win by ≥2 sets), graded via gamma · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 59¢ · LOSS — Cobolli lost the match to Fery (Fery took Set 1 & Set 2, gamma moneyline Cobolli 0.35¢), so a Cobolli −1.5 set handicap cannot cover · msg-100%@59¢
  • LOSSBenoît Saint Denis — UFC 329 — Pimblett v Saint Denis · Jul 11 · Jul 11 · “UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) / Benoît Saint Denis W / 56c” + jup.ag link (POLY-642119, slug ufc-pad-ben8-2026-07-11) + “# NFA” (author gianlucabruno3) — Benoît Saint Denis moneyline v Paddy Pimblett · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 56¢ (Jupiter BSD buyYes 570000 microUSD ≈57¢ at capture) · LOSS: Pimblett won by submission — Jupiter isLive=false, BSD buyYes pinned ~0.2¢; gamma moneyline Pimblett 0.995 / BSD 0.005 · msg-100%@56¢
  • LOSSOtto Virtanen — Swiss Open Qual. — Virtanen v Dietrich · Jul 11 · Jul 11 · “Swiss Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Dylan Dietrich / Virtanen W / 66c” + jup.ag link (POLY-689301, slug atp-virtane-dietric-2026-07-11) + “#NFA” (author gianlucabruno3) — Otto Virtanen moneyline v Dylan Dietrich · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 66¢ (Jupiter Virtanen buyYes 640000 microUSD ≈64¢ at capture) · LOSS: Virtanen buyYes pinned to 0¢ (isLive=false); gamma Set 1 & Set 2 winners both resolved to Dietrich — Dietrich won straight sets; caller confirmed (msg 1525512221432741909 “Virtanen lost against an amateur”) · msg-100%@66¢
  • LOSSKarolina Muchova — Wimbledon WTA — Muchova v Noskova · Jul 11 · Jul 11 · “Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova / Muchova W / 26c (LOW LOW STAKE) / LIVE” + jup.ag link (POLY-685720, slug wta-muchova-noskova-2026-07-11) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Karolina Muchova moneyline v Linda Noskova, Wimbledon WTA (live) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 26¢ (self-described super-risky low-stake live entry; Jupiter Muchova buyYes 29000 microUSD ≈3¢ shortly after capture — caller noted “now its 9c 😄 rip”) · LOSS: Noskova won (Jupiter isLive=false, Muchova buyYes pinned 1000 microUSD ≈0.1¢; gamma outcomePrices Muchova 0.0005 / Noskova 0.9995, umaResolutionStatus proposed) · msg-100%@26¢
  • LOSSQianhui Tang — WTA Athens Qual. — Tang v Nepliy · Jul 11 · Jul 11 · “Athens Open, Qualification: Qianhui Tang vs Elina Nepliy / Tang W / 66c / LIVE (low stake)” + jup.ag link (POLY-689308, slug wta-tang-nepliy-2026-07-11) + “#NFA” (author gianlucabruno3) — Qianhui Tang moneyline v Elina Nepliy, WTA Athens Open qualification (live) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 66¢ (Jupiter Tang buyYes 830000 microUSD ≈83¢ at capture, already up in-play) · GRADED LOSS: Nepliy won the match 2-1 (Set 1 Tang, Set 2 & 3 Nepliy). Jupiter Tang buyYes pinned to 0.1¢ / Nepliy 100¢; gamma moneyline Tang 0.0005 + umaResolutionStatus proposed, “Completed Match” Yes 0.995, Total Sets Over 2.5 resolved — two sources confirm Tang lost. · msg-100%@66¢
  • LOSSLorenzo Giustino — ATP Liège — Broska v Giustino · Jul 12 · Jul 12 · “Liege: Florian Broska vs Lorenzo Giustino / Giustino W / 70c / LIVE / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-692846, slug atp-broska-giustin-2026-07-12) (author gianlucabruno3) — Lorenzo Giustino moneyline v Florian Broska, ATP Liège (live) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 70¢ (Jupiter Giustino buyYes 380000 microUSD ≈38¢ at capture — price dropped in-play; caller noted msg 1525873441079558165 “giustino looks having problem (he walks... and not running)”) · GRADED LOSS — Jupiter isLive=false, Giustino buyYes pinned ~0¢ (1000 microUSD), Broska pinned 100¢ (1000000) → Broska won · msg-100%@70¢
  • LOSSZverev — Wimbledon ATP — Sinner v Zverev · Jul 12 · Jul 12 · “Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev / Zverev W / 47c / LIVE / i don’t like sinner body language” + jup.ag link (POLY-689368, slug atp-sinner-zverev-2026-07-12) + “# NFA” (author gianlucabruno3) — Alexander Zverev moneyline v Jannik Sinner, Wimbledon 2026 men’s final (live) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 47¢ (Jupiter Zverev buyYes 250000 microUSD ≈25¢ at capture, one set apiece then Sinner favoured) · LOSS — Sinner won the final; Jupiter isLive=false with Sinner buyYes pinned 1000000 microUSD (≈100¢) and Zverev 1000 (≈0¢); gamma cross-check: Total-Sets Over 3.5 ≈0.9955 + Set-Handicap Zverev +2.5 ≈0.9965 (a 4-set Sinner win) · msg-100%@47¢
  • LOSSJurij Rodionov — Swiss Open — Tabur v Rodionov · Jul 13 · Jul 13 · “Swiss Open: Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionov / Rodionov W / 42c” + jup.ag link (POLY-696591) + #nfa (author gianlucabruno3) — Jurij Rodionov moneyline v Clement Tabur, Swiss Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 42¢ matches Jupiter Rodionov buyYes 420000 microUSD at capture · LOSS — Jupiter isLive=false, Rodionov buyYes pinned ~0.1¢, gamma moneyline Tabur 0.995 / Rodionov 0.005 (Tabur won: set winners Rodionov set 1, Tabur sets 2 & 3) · msg-100%@42¢
  • LOSSGabriela Ruse — Iasi Open — Quevedo v Ruse · Jul 14 · Jul 14 · “Iasi Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Gabriela Ruse / Ruse W / 67c” + jup.ag link (POLY-692924, slug wta-quevedo-ruse-2026-07-13) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Gabriela Ruse moneyline v Kaitlin Quevedo, Iasi Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 67¢ (Jupiter Ruse buyYes 782000 microUSD ≈78¢ at capture, up in-play) · LOSS: gamma moneyline settled Quevedo 0.9995 / Ruse 0.0005 (umaResolutionStatus proposed), Jupiter isLive=false — Ruse lost · msg-100%@67¢
  • LOSSAlexander Blockx — Croatia Open — Droguet v Blockx · Jul 14 · Jul 14 · “Croatia Open: Titouan Droguet vs Alexander Blockx / Blockx W / 63c” + jup.ag link (POLY-692972, slug atp-droguet-blockx-2026-07-13) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Alexander Blockx moneyline v Titouan Droguet, Croatia Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 63¢ matches Jupiter Blockx buyYes 630000 microUSD at capture · GRADED loss Jul 14: match settled, Droguet won (Jupiter isLive=false, Blockx pinned 1000 microUSD ≈ 0¢; gamma moneyline Droguet 0.9915 / Blockx 0.0085). · msg-100%@63¢
  • LOSSMarco Cecchinato — Croatia Open — Cecchinato v Burruchaga · Jul 14 · Jul 14 · “Croatia Open: Marco Cecchinato vs Roman Andres Burruchaga / Cecchinato W / 16c … Burruchaga has a huge elbow bandage … if you take it, follow the channel I can call an exit if he will win the second set” + jup.ag link (POLY-696615, slug atp-cecchin-burruch-2026-07-14) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Marco Cecchinato moneyline v Roman Andres Burruchaga, Croatia Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 16¢ · LOSS: Burruchaga won — gamma moneyline Cecchinato pinned 0.0005¢ (Burruchaga 0.9995), umaResolutionStatus proposed · msg-100%@16¢
  • LOSSYannick Hanfmann — Swiss Open — Hanfmann v Vacherot · Jul 15 · Jul 15 · “Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherot / Hanfmann W / 64c” + jup.ag link (POLY-703261, slug atp-hanfman-vachero-2026-07-15) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Yannick Hanfmann moneyline v Valentin Vacherot, Swiss Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 64¢ matches Jupiter Hanfmann buyYes 640000 microUSD at capture · LOSS: Jupiter isLive=false, Hanfmann buyYes pinned to 1000 microUSD (~0¢) / Vacherot 1000000 (~100¢) → Vacherot won the match · msg-100%@64¢
  • LOSSTomas Etcheverry — Croatia Open — Etcheverry v Merida Aguilar · Jul 15 · Jul 15 · “Croatia Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Daniel Merida Aguilar / Etcheverry W / 63c” + jup.ag link (POLY-704174, slug atp-etcheve-aguilar-2026-07-15) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Tomas Etcheverry moneyline v Daniel Merida Aguilar, Croatia Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 63¢ (Jupiter Etcheverry buyYes 640000 microUSD ≈64¢ at capture) · LOSS: Jupiter isLive=false, Etcheverry buyYes pinned 1000 microUSD (~0¢); gamma moneyline Etcheverry 0.0005 / Aguilar 0.9995 (umaResolutionStatus proposed) — Aguilar won · msg-100%@63¢
  • LOSSDaniil Glinka — Granby — Glinka v Sekulic · Jul 16 · Jul 16 · “Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Philip Sekulic / Glinka W / 62c” + jup.ag link (POLY-703325, slug atp-glinka-sekulic-2026-07-15) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Daniil Glinka moneyline v Philip Sekulic, ATP Challenger Granby · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 62¢ matches Jupiter Glinka buyYes 627000 microUSD ≈63¢ at capture · caller corrected the link in msg 1527334269683236964 (“the link was wrong (fixed now)”) — POLY-703325 verified to Glinka/Sekulic · GRADED LOSS: Jupiter isLive=false, Glinka buyYes pinned to 1000 microUSD (~0¢) / Sekulic ~100¢; gamma moneyline Glinka 0.0005 / Sekulic 0.9995 umaResolutionStatus proposed (Set 1 Sekulic, Set 2 Glinka, Set 3 Sekulic — Sekulic won the match) · msg-100%@62¢
  • LOSSDanka Kovinic — Rome — Kovinic v Riera · Jul 16 · Jul 16 · “Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Riera / Kovinic W / LIVE / 50c” + jup.ag link (POLY-703256, slug wta-kovinic-riera-2026-07-15) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Danka Kovinic moneyline v Julia Riera (live) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 50¢ (Jupiter Kovinic buyYes 520000 microUSD ≈52¢ at capture) · GRADED LOSS: Kovinic buyYes pinned ~1000 microUSD (~0¢) / Riera 100¢ on Jupiter; gamma moneyline outcomePrices [0.0005, 0.9995] with umaResolutionStatus proposed — Riera won · msg-100%@50¢
  • LOSSCasper Ruud — Swiss Open — Cerundolo v Ruud · Jul 17 · Jul 17 · “Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud / Ruud W / 72c / #NFA” + jup.ag link (POLY-710441, slug atp-cerund-ruud-2026-07-17) (author gianlucabruno3) — Casper Ruud moneyline v Juan Manuel Cerundolo, Swiss Open · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 72¢ matches Jupiter Ruud buyYes 730000 microUSD ≈73¢ at capture · LOSS: Jupiter POLY-710441 isLive=false, Ruud buyYes pinned ~0.1¢ (Cerundolo 100¢) — Cerundolo won · msg-100%@72¢
  • LOSSStefano Napolitano — Cordenons — Napolitano v Villanueva · Jul 17 · Jul 17 · “Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Gonzalo Villanueva / Napolitano W / 60c” + jup.ag link (POLY-710422, slug atp-napolit-villanu-2026-07-17) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Stefano Napolitano moneyline v Gonzalo Villanueva, ATP Challenger Cordenons · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 60¢ matches Jupiter Napolitano buyYes 610000 microUSD ≈61¢ at capture · LOSS: backed Napolitano pinned to Jupiter buyYes 1000 microUSD (0.1¢) while Villanueva 1000000 (100¢); gamma moneyline 0.0005/0.9995 umaResolutionStatus=proposed and Set-1 Winner resolved against Napolitano ["0","1"] — Villanueva won the match · msg-100%@60¢
  • LOSSAlex Molcan — Croatia Open — Dzumhur v Molcan · Jul 17 · Jul 17 · “Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcan / Molcan W / 67c” + jup.ag link (POLY-711537, slug atp-dzumhur-molcan-2026-07-17) + #NFA (author gianlucabruno3) — Alex Molcan moneyline v Damir Dzumhur, Croatia Open (Umag) · captured via ClickHouse reconciliation (1B) · stated entry 67¢ matches Jupiter Molcan buyYes 670000 microUSD at capture · LOSS: Jupiter isLive=false, Molcan buyYes pinned 10000 microUSD (~1¢) / Dzumhur 100¢; gamma set-1/set-2 winner markets resolved — Dzumhur won the match · msg-100%@67¢

Open / unscorable 1

  • N/ANava — Heilbronn — Mikrut v Nava · Jun 7 · “Nava W” · final; Nava plays slam qualis, both love long matches, Nava favourite once intensity rises · Mikrut retired before the match → market voided, resolves 50-50 (no win/loss) · msg

Outcomes verified against public results. Use the General / World Cup toggle in the header to switch which calls this profile shows. Market links open the Jupiter prediction market; message links open the original call in #prediction-alpha (Jupiter Discord membership required). PnL = return if you’d entered the backed side when the call was posted and held to resolution (@¢ = entry price; win → 100¢, loss → 0¢). Profit = units won with an equal 1u stake per scored call. Losses are −100% (−1u) regardless of entry; wins use the Jupiter Prediction price at call time where available. Because a loss costs a full unit while a win on a heavy favorite pays only a little, a high win-rate can still net negative profit — success% and profit measure different things.