lucas_btc_
@lucas_btc_ · every call recorded, losses included
Season 1Last 7 days · calls posted in the window, season scoring rules still apply · 12 counted
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; calls sold early count what was actually realized.
+3.14u
10 priced calls
YieldAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not.
+31.4%
per call
RecordWins and losses over settled calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it.
7–3
70% of 10
FormMost recent settled calls, newest on the right.
WWWWW
W5 streak
Last 7 days equity curve
10 graded
Open calls (2)
Como: Federico Arnaboldi v Juan Pablo VarillasJuan Pablo Varillas @ 66¢jup.ag ↗now 72¢pending
“sports Como: Federico Arnaboldi vs Juan Pablo Varillas Juan Pablo Varillas wins Reasoning: Varillas is coming off a really good win over a promising young clay-court player and should be feeling confident. He has loads of experience on clay, and that gives him the edge in this matchup Extra: Varillas wins 2–0 #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-942912”
- Posted
- Mon, 31 Aug 2026 20:30:09 UTC
Como: Thiago Seyboth Wild v Martin KrumichThiago Seyboth Wild @ 58¢jup.ag ↗now 58.5¢pending
“sports Como: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Martin Krumich Thiago Seyboth Wild wins Reasoning: Wild has way more experience on clay and comes into this one with some solid results on his best surface. He’s the more aggressive player with more variety in his game. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-933296”
- Posted
- Mon, 31 Aug 2026 14:10:15 UTC
Last 7 days record (10)
Porto: Thiago Monteiro v Kimmer CoppejansThiago Monteiro @ 54¢jup.ag ↗+85%win
“sports Porto: Thiago Monteiro vs Kimmer Coppejans Thiago Monteiro wins Reasoning: This one looks pretty close, but Monteiro is more aggressive and has loads of experience on clay. His fitness can be a big factor in a long match, so I’m giving Thiago the slight edge here #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-933304”
- Posted
- Mon, 31 Aug 2026 13:57:34 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Thiago Monteiro.
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges v Learner TienLearner Tien @ 66¢jup.ag ↗+52%win
“sports US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Learner Tien wins Reasoning: Both guys have been playing well lately, but Tien looks more comfortable on hard courts right now. He beat Borges the last time they played, and playing at home with the crowd behind him is a nice extra edge #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-924355”
- Posted
- Mon, 31 Aug 2026 10:41:47 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Learner Tien.
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery v Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse @ 45¢jup.ag ↗+122%win
“sports Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse Ignacio Buse wins Reasoning: Buse has been playing aggressively and comes into the final on a really solid run. He’s looking more comfortable on hard courts with every match, and that can give him the edge here #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-929302”
- Posted
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 20:03:27 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Ignacio Buse.
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu v Sandro KoppCezar Cretu @ 44¢jup.ag ↗+127%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-921753 sports Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Sandro Kopp Cezar Cretu wins Reasoning: This should be a close match, with both players having a good run in the tournament. Cretu has looked physically sharp and I’m giving him the slight edge here. #nfa”
- Posted
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 12:31:10 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Cezar Cretu.
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse @ 45¢jup.ag ↗+122%win
“sports Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Ignacio Buse https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-918174 Ignacio Buse wins Reasoning: This should be a close one, but I’m giving Buse the slight edge on Winston-Salem’s quicker hard court. Both players are more comfortable on clay, but Buse’s aggressive game can make the difference here. #nfa”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 20:19:03 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Ignacio Buse.
Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi v Botic van de ZandschulpBotic van de Zandschulp @ 63.5¢jup.ag ↗-100%loss
“sports Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Botic van de Zandschulp Botic van de Zandschulp wins Reasoning: Botic is coming into this one on a really strong winning run. His first serve has been solid, he’s been hitting plenty of aces, and he’s faced tougher opponents in recent matches with some good wins #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-918167”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 12:51:54 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier v Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse @ 56¢jup.ag ↗+79%win
“sports Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ignacio Buse Ignacio Buse wins Reasoning: Ignacio is younger and more aggressive, which could give him an edge on Winston-Salem’s fast hard courts. Both players are more comfortable on clay and are still adapting to hard courts, but I’m giving Buse use the slight advantage here. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-912719”
- Posted
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 16:48:48 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Ignacio Buse.
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier v Sebastian BaezSebastian Baez @ 79¢jup.ag ↗+27%win
“sports Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez Sebastian Baez wins Reasoning: Baez is coming off a run to the final in his last tournament, so he should have plenty of momentum. He’s younger, more intense, and has a strong return game, which gives him the edge here #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-908231”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 13:46:52 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for Sebastian Baez.
Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi v Quentin HalysQuentin Halys @ 62¢jup.ag ↗-100%loss
“sports Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halys Quentin Halys wins Reasoning: Quentin is coming off a strong run in Cincinnati, has an excellent first serve, and has been hitting more aces than his opponent. He’s also in better form right now #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-906976”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 11:47:14 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi v Federico CinaLuca Nardi @ 35¢jup.ag ↗-100%loss
“sports US Open Qualifying (ATP): Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Luca Nardi wins Reasoning: Even though Nardi is still finding his rhythm after a recent injury, he has more experience, especially on hard courts. He wins, but it will be a tough match #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-898603”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 11:35:39 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.