Gurk

@_gurk_ · every call recorded, losses included

Season 1Season 1 · Jul 22 to Sep 30 · earlier calls at the bottom of the page
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; calls sold early count what was actually realized.
+0.04u
30 priced calls
YieldAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not.
+0.1%
per call
RecordWins and losses over settled calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it.
2010
67% of 30
FormMost recent settled calls, newest on the right.
WLWLL
L2 streak

Season equity curve

30 graded
03.6-2.7+0.0u
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, step per call; pending calls never move the curve).

Season record (39)

Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETnot counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 1 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips)Up @ 15¢-100%loss
Pick - Eth UP 15c Reason - faith (NFA) #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-905076
Posted
Tue, 25 Aug 2026 16:57:02 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Quebec City (Doubles): Blanchet/Jacquet v Jung/Maginleynot counted: over the 30-call weekly cap (week 4): the first 30 calls of a season week count, by posting time; this one was #31. The week resets Wednesday 10:00 UTCBlanchet/Jacquet @ 89¢+12%win
Pick - Blanchet/Jacquet 89c Reason - <:HMCGoose:1407987275304013844> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-870016
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 21:42:00 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Blanchet/Jacquet.
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Bhambri/Venus v Pavlasek/Riklnot counted: over the 30-call weekly cap (week 4): the first 30 calls of a season week count, by posting time; this one was #31. The week resets Wednesday 10:00 UTCPavlasek/Rikl @ 89¢+12%win
Pick - Pavlasek/Rikl 89c Reason - <:HMCGoose:1407987275304013844> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-868947
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 21:41:26 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Pavlasek/Rikl.
Kingston: Jay Clarke v Clement Chidekhnot counted: over the 30-call weekly cap (week 4): the first 30 calls of a season week count, by posting time; this one was #31. The week resets Wednesday 10:00 UTCJay Clarke @ 41.9¢-100%loss
Pick - Clark 41c Reason - <:hmm:1000845142586032138> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-857581
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 21:40:46 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Kingston: Benjamin Willwerth v Gonzalo Buenonot counted: over the 30-call weekly cap (week 4): the first 30 calls of a season week count, by posting time; this one was #31. The week resets Wednesday 10:00 UTCGonzalo Bueno @ 70¢+43%win
Pick - Bueno 70c Reason - <:HMCGoose:1407987275304013844> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-857580
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 21:38:59 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Gonzalo Bueno.
Kingston: Lucas Da Silva v Tyler Zinknot counted: over the 30-call weekly cap (week 4): the first 30 calls of a season week count, by posting time; this one was #31. The week resets Wednesday 10:00 UTCTyler Zink @ 81¢+23%win
Pick - Zink 84c Reason - <:HMCGoose:1407987275304013844> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-868002
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 21:38:24 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Tyler Zink.
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy v STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular PlayoffsSTATE @ 74¢-100%loss
Pick - State 77c Reason - <:PepeStonedCSRep:885386177736224788> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-866921
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 10:18:46 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers v Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupNongshim Esports Academy @ 81¢-100%loss
Pick - Nongshim 79c Reason - <:LOL:910808112800346172> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-848825
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 10:18:00 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Sion: Dominic Stephan Stricker v Raphael PerotDominic Stephan Stricker @ 81¢+23%win
Pick - Stephan Stricker 80c Reason - 🎾 #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-856302
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 10:16:32 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Dominic Stephan Stricker.
Prague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano v Martin KrumichMartin Krumich @ 84¢-100%loss
Pick - Krumich 83c Reason - 🎾 #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-866081
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 10:15:56 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Roehampton: Fares Zakaria v Alex RybakovAlex Rybakov @ 84¢+19%win
Pick - Rybakov 86c Reason - 🎾 #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-856325
Posted
Tue, 18 Aug 2026 10:15:02 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Alex Rybakov.
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETnot counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 1 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips)Up @ 83¢+20%win
Pick - eth up 72c Reason - <:moon:896365677663907850> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861480
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 20:25:54 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Up.
Valorant: G2 Gozen v Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsG2 Gozen @ 75¢+33%win
Pick - G2 Gozen 76c Reason - tight game 1-1 now, i think G2 pulls trough #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861036
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 19:10:58 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for G2 Gozen.
Counter-Strike: maybe v Spirit Academy Green (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsmaybe @ 79¢+27%win
Pick - maybe 81c Reason - <a:hmcookyell:1509626669340819507> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-864156
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 19:09:28 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for maybe.
Counter-Strike: Revise v FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InFORZE Reload @ 86¢-100%loss
Pick - FORZE 86c Reason - <:moon:896365677663907850> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861858
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 19:07:54 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Test Match: Sri Lanka v IndiaIndia @ 75¢+33%win
Pick - India 75c Reason - 🏏 #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-846545
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 18:08:37 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for India.
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx v Flavio CobolliAlexander Blockx @ 53¢ → sold 5.1¢-90%loss
Pick - Blockx 53c Reason - <:German_Pepe:924273135992336384> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-856310
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 16:47:02 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 5.1¢, -47.9¢ on the 53¢ entry.
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETnot counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 1 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips)Up @ 77¢+30%win
Pick - Eth up 77c Reason - <:stonks:1336550601890467912> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-859544
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 14:33:25 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Up.
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante v Martin LandaluceThiago Agustin Tirante @ 59¢+69%win
Pick - Tirante 59c Reason - to jinx <@185593900507856896> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-856331
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 14:31:34 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Thiago Agustin Tirante.
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming v SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsLPH Gaming @ 71¢+41%win
Pick - LPH 71c Reason - <:KRKuriThink:639090890614505472> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861154
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 14:27:08 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for LPH Gaming.
Show all 39
Valorant: NPC Team v Looking For Laburo (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Main Event PlayoffsLooking For Laburo @ 86¢+16%win
Pick - Looking For Laburo 86c Reason - <:moon:896365677663907850> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861935
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 13:07:27 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Looking For Laburo.
Bitcoin above ___ on August 17?yes 64k @ 16.7¢+499%win
Pick - yes 64k 16.7c Reason - <:moon:896365677663907850> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-828453
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 12:18:41 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for yes 64k.
Prague 2: Eduardo Ribeiro v Sumit NagalEduardo Ribeiro @ 40¢-100%loss
Pick - Ribeiro 40c Reason - 🎾 #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-856318
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:59:40 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy v ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dex-Zero Tenacity @ 38¢ → sold 0.5¢-99%loss
Pick - ex-Zero 37c Reason - underdog #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-862435
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:57:15 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 0.5¢, -37.5¢ on the 38¢ entry.
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION v Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-InVexar @ 73¢+37%win
Pick - Vexar 79c Reason - <a:peepoBlushExcited:1124758847463096390> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861856
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:53:59 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Vexar.
Counter-Strike: ENCE v Esport BERG (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsENCE @ 89¢+12%win
Pick - ENCE 89c Reason - 🤺 #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-861153
Posted
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:52:15 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for ENCE.
LoL: FlyQuest v Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonCloud9 @ 83¢+20%win
Pick - Cloud9 86c Reason - ☁️ #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-828033
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 21:19:36 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Cloud9.
Colorado Rockies v San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants @ 76¢-100%loss
Pick - San Francisco 78c Reason - <a:aPES_Think:493353113332219924> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-827616
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 21:19:02 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Kansas City Royals v Los Angeles AngelsKansas City Royals @ 85¢+18%win
Pick - Kansas 81c Reason - yes #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-827618
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 21:18:15 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Kansas City Royals.
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton v Jaime FariaBen Shelton @ 82¢-100%loss
Pick - Shelton 82c Reason - opposite of <@358391665293000704> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-852044
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 21:11:32 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Frosinone Calcio v SS Juve StabiaFrosinone Calcio @ 75¢+33%win
Pick - Frosinone Calcio 75c Reason - Frosinone town ftw (i have no reason) #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-796136
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 16:15:50 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Frosinone Calcio.
Randers FC v FC KøbenhavnFC København @ 75.5¢+32%win
Pick - FC København 76 Reason - gut #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-787717
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 16:13:41 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for FC København.
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend v Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina @ 84.5¢+18%win
Pick - Rybakina 80 Reason - idfk #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845786
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 16:09:41 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Elena Rybakina.
AFC Ajax v SC HeerenveenAFC Ajax @ 86¢-100%loss
Pick - Ajax 86c Reason - faith <:pain:1357015377699279049> #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-796344
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:10:20 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports v UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group CUNiTY esports @ 83¢+20%win
Pick - UNiTY 83c Reason - probability and history #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-854627
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:08:28 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for UNiTY esports.
Counter-Strike: Honvéd v mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren @ 86¢+16%win
Pick - mellren 86c Reason - probability and history #nfa #dyor #kyc https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-856247
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:06:03 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for mellren.
LoL: LOUD v Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOUD @ 89¢+12%win
https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-835657 I pick LOUD at 89c, probability say they will win #NFA
Posted
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 14:24:29 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for LOUD.
LoL: Disguised v Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonTeam Liquid -1.5 games @ 90¢+11%win
https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-828017 I'm picking Liquid -1.5 at 90c, idk what im doing #NFA
Posted
Sat, 15 Aug 2026 20:57:26 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Team Liquid -1.5 games.
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETnot counted: rapid-cycle up/down market: excluded from Season 1 by the market-scope rule (a market that resolves every few minutes would let anyone fill the weekly cap with coin flips). Enforcement was BISON-only until Aug 13; the same market on Polymarket had been scoring.Down @ 99.8¢+0%win
#NFA https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-826925 down 100% sure
Posted
Tue, 11 Aug 2026 10:44:17 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Down.
Past calls (4)

Pre-season record: counted in the Hall of Fame all-time board, not in Season 1.

FIFA WC ’26 — United States v BosniaUnited Stateswin
# NFA i dont want too, USA to win
Posted
Wed, 01 Jul 2026 23:38:59 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for United States.
Wimbledon ATP — Brooksby v BuseIgnacio Buse @ 40¢-100%loss
Taking Buse at 40 cents. 🔥
Posted
Wed, 01 Jul 2026 10:09:17 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
FIFA WC ’26 — Germany v ParaguayGermany @ 48¢-100%loss
and thats why i bet on germany once paraguay scores
Posted
Mon, 29 Jun 2026 21:51:07 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
FIFA WC ’26 — Germany v Côte d’IvoireCôte d’Ivoire @ 16¢-100%loss
CIV TO WIN
Posted
Sat, 20 Jun 2026 20:03:11 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Gurk · Season 1: 20–10, +0.04u · jupcallers