GurkVerified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Original Discord message, word for word
and thats why i bet on germany once paraguay scores
Record
- Posted
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 21:51:07 UTC
- Event start
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 20:30:00 UTC
- Entry
- 48¢
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
v1 grading note: Jun 29 · “and thats why i bet on germany once paraguay scores” (1521271829019361380) — first-person in-play position on Germany moneyline vs Paraguay (live, match tied late; reasoning: backing Germany to come back after Paraguay scored) · captured via ClickHouse (author _gurk_) · entry from market price at capture (Germany ML buyYes 480000 = 48¢) · LOSS: regulation ended in a draw — 3-way moneyline resolves on full-time, so Germany side dead. Jupiter Germany buyYes pinned 1000 (0.1¢), gamma Germany Yes 0.0005 / Draw Yes 0.9995. Match went to penalties (irrelevant to moneyline).
Verification details
- Message id
1521271829019361380open in Discord ↗ (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-640346jup.ag ↗- Capture
- Jun 29 · “and thats why i bet on germany once paraguay scores” (1521271829019361380) — first-person in-play position on Germany moneyline vs Paraguay (live, match tied late; reasoning: backing Germany to come back after Paraguay scored) · captured via ClickHouse (author _gurk_) · entry from market price at capture (Germany ML buyYes 480000 = 48¢) · LOSS: regulation ended in a draw — 3-way moneyline resolves on full-time, so Germany side dead. Jupiter Germany buyYes pinned 1000 (0.1¢), gamma Germany Yes 0.0005 / Draw Yes 0.9995. Match went to penalties (irrelevant to moneyline).
#393). Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.