orange_smoke
@orange_smoke · every call recorded, losses included
Season 1Last 7 days · calls posted in the window, season scoring rules still apply · 3 counted
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; calls sold early count what was actually realized.
+1.17u
2 priced calls
YieldAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not.
+58.7%
per call
RecordWins and losses over settled calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it.
2–0
100% of 2
FormMost recent settled calls, newest on the right.
WW
W2 streak
Last 7 days equity curve
2 graded
Open calls (1)
What price will Solana hit in August?No for 90 @ 70¢jup.ag ↗now 98¢pending
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-780134 What price will Solana hit in August? Taking No for 90 @ 70c #NFA”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 15:48:48 UTC
Last 7 days record (2)
Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?180-199 yes @ 52¢jup.ag ↗+92%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-868899 Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? Yes for 180-199 @ 52c #NFA”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 17:01:36 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for 180-199 yes.
What price will Solana hit in August?yes for 100 @ 80¢jup.ag ↗+25%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-780134 What price will Solana hit in August? Taking yes for 100 @ 80c #NFA”
- Posted
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 06:00:06 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for yes for 100.