orange_smoke1010 wins in a row
@orange_smoke · every call recorded, losses included
Season 1Season 1 · Jul 22 to Sep 30 · earlier calls at the bottom of the page
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; calls sold early count what was actually realized.
+1.44u
12 priced calls
YieldAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not.
+12%
per call
RecordWins and losses over settled calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it.
10–2
83% of 12
FormMost recent settled calls, newest on the right.
WWWWW
10 wins in a row
Season equity curve
12 graded
Open calls (4)
What price will Solana hit in August?No for 90 @ 70¢jup.ag ↗now 98¢pending
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-780134 What price will Solana hit in August? Taking No for 90 @ 70c #NFA”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 15:48:48 UTC
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?No for August @ 89.5¢jup.ag ↗now 100¢pending
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-681406 Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? Taking No for August @ 90c #NFA”
- Posted
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 13:30:40 UTC
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?800 - 900m yes @ 37¢jup.ag ↗now 100¢pending
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-715500 "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? 800 - 900m Taking yes @ 37c #NFA”
- Posted
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 11:16:04 UTC
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?900m+ no @ 37¢jup.ag ↗now 100¢pending
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-715500 "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? 900m+ Taking no @ 37c #NFA”
- Posted
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 11:06:41 UTC
Season record (13)
Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?180-199 yes @ 52¢jup.ag ↗+92%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-868899 Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? Yes for 180-199 @ 52c #NFA”
- Posted
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 17:01:36 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for 180-199 yes.
What price will Solana hit in August?yes for 100 @ 80¢jup.ag ↗+25%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-780134 What price will Solana hit in August? Taking yes for 100 @ 80c #NFA”
- Posted
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 06:00:06 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for yes for 100.
What will Trump say during remarks at NASA?no for Elon / Musk @ 86¢jup.ag ↗+16%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-906672 What will Trump say during remarks at NASA? Taking no for Elon / Musk @ 86c #NFA”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 02:16:35 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for no for Elon / Musk.
Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?yes for 320-339 @ 73¢jup.ag ↗+37%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-851800 Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026? Taking yes for 320-339 @ 73c #NFA”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 01:49:53 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for yes for 320-339.
What will Trump say during remarks at NASA?yes for mission @ 89¢jup.ag ↗+12%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-906672 What will Trump say during remarks at NASA? Taking yes for mission @ 89c #NFA”
- Posted
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 01:43:26 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for yes for mission.
What price will Solana hit in August?no for 70 @ 51¢jup.ag ↗+96%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-780134 What price will Solana hit in August? Taking no for 70 @ 53c #NFA”
- Posted
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 11:13:34 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for no for 70.
What price will Ethereum hit in August?No for 1600 @ 88¢jup.ag ↗+14%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-780133 What price will Ethereum hit in August? Taking No for 1600 @ 88c #NFA”
- Posted
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 10:36:44 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for No for 1600.
Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?40 yes @ 30¢ → sold 37.5¢jup.ag ↗+25%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-791357 Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? <40 taking yes @ 30c #NFA”
- Posted
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:25:19 UTC
- Outcome
- Closed early by the caller at 37.5¢, +7.5¢ on the 30¢ entry.
Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?not counted: entry 9¢ below the 10¢ minimum65-89 yes @ 9¢jup.ag ↗-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-791357 Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026? 65-89 taking yes @ 9c #NFA”
- Posted
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 22:09:22 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?180-199 yes @ 87¢jup.ag ↗+15%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-759300 Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026? 180-199 Taking yes @ 87c on average he does not tweet much at all during remaining hours for this market #NFA”
- Posted
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 12:17:31 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for 180-199 yes.
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)170-180m no @ 90¢jup.ag ↗+11%win
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-803818 "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes) 170-180m taking no @ 90c from memory the estimates are often way over the outcome for these movie markets so hoping this is a safe one 🙏 #NFA”
- Posted
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 20:50:51 UTC
- Outcome
- Won: the market resolved for 170-180m no.
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?Up @ 35¢jup.ag ↗-100%loss
“https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-800909 taking up @ 35c #NFA”
- Posted
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 18:30:08 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic v Daniel AltmaierAleksandar Vukic @ 59¢jup.ag ↗-100%loss
“taking Aleksander Vukic to win at 59 cents #NFA”
- Posted
- Mon, 03 Aug 2026 20:28:22 UTC
- Outcome
- Lost: the market resolved against this pick.