0xzagh

@0xzagh · every call recorded, losses included

Season 1Season 1 · Jul 22 to Sep 30 · earlier calls at the bottom of the page
ProfitEvery call risks 1 unit. A win at 40¢ pays +1.5 units, a loss is -1. This is the running total; calls sold early count what was actually realized.
-11.28u
29 priced calls
YieldAverage profit per call, as a percent of the 1-unit stake. Staying positive over many calls is the skill signal; win rate alone is not.
-38.9%
per call
RecordWins and losses over settled calls. The sample size is always shown: a win rate only means something alongside it.
1118
38% of 29
FormMost recent settled calls, newest on the right.
WLLWL
L1 streak

Season equity curve

29 graded
0-11.3-11.3u
Cumulative units over graded calls (flat 1u stake, step per call; pending calls never move the curve).

Season record (32)

Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic v Thiago Agustin Tirantenot counted: over the 30-call weekly cap (week 4): the first 30 calls of a season week count, by posting time; this one was #31. The week resets Wednesday 10:00 UTCNovak Djokovic @ 78¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Novak Djokovic WIN #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845983
Posted
Sat, 15 Aug 2026 04:29:26 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
AS Roma v ACF FiorentinaACF Fiorentina @ 16¢-100%loss
Serie A: AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina ACF Fiorentina WIN #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-830315
Posted
Sat, 15 Aug 2026 04:22:45 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton v Nicolas MejiaAdam Walton @ 65¢+54%win
Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia Prediction: Adam Walton WIN Reasoning: Superior hard-court specialty, higher first-serve retention on fast Laykold courts, and proven track record in North American hard-court conditions over a clay specialist. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845974
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 19:05:03 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Adam Walton.
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic v Marco TrungellitiHamad Medjedovic @ 65¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Prediction: Hamad Medjedovic WIN Reasoning: Massive hard-court surface advantage, big-serve power on fast Laykold courts, and superior physical freshness over a 36-year-old clay specialist. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845972
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 18:57:21 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell v Kamil MajchrzakKamil Majchrzak @ 63¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak Prediction: Kamil Majchrzak WIN Reasoning: Stronger 2026 overall form, superior second-serve return metrics, and an undefeated H2H hard-court record over O'Connell. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845971
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 17:40:15 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Brownsburg (Doubles): Rai/Watt v Kittay/RomboliRai/Watt @ 64¢+56%win
Brownsburg (Doubles): Rai/Watt vs Kittay/Romboli Prediction: Rai/Watt WIN Reasoning: Superior doubles synergy, higher first-serve points won, and proven hard-court chemistry over a newly-formed pairing. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-847935
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 17:18:55 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Rai/Watt.
Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango v Venus WilliamsEmiliana Arango @ 73¢+37%win
Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williams Prediction: Emiliana Arango WIN Reasoning: Strong qualifying momentum and match fitness against Venus Williams' prolonged losing streak. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845784
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 17:12:01 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Emiliana Arango.
Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal v Juan Manuel CerundoloMark Lajal @ 50.5¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Prediction: Mark Lajal WIN Reasoning: Lajal’s powerful serve and hard-court playing style characterized by flat shots gave him the edge over Cerundolo, a clay-court specialist, when competing on a fast court. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845977
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 17:01:53 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Cincinnati Open: Kyrian Jacquet v Adolfo VallejoKyrian Jacquet @ 66¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Vallejo Kyrian Jacquet WIN Reasoning: Superior hard-court adaptability, stronger serve baseline, and momentum trend against clay specialist Vallejo at 66c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845966
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 14:58:28 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer v Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas @ 75¢+33%win
Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Stefanos Tsitsipas WIN Reasoning: Massive class and hard-court experience gap; Royer struggles on hard courts with a sub-36% career win-rate at 75c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836949
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 14:55:41 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong v Daniel AltmaierColeman Wong @ 60¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaier Coleman Wong WIN Reasoning: Superior hard-court specialty, 1-0 H2H Miami Masters sweep, and big-serve edge (9.8 aces/match) over clay specialist Altmaier at 60c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845976
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 14:52:34 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
LoL: Team WE v Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports @ 37¢-100%loss
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports WIN Reasoning: High-value live comeback play on TES roster caliber to execute a 2-1 reverse sweep at 37c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-794665
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 10:20:47 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Dota 2: Aurora v Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageAurora @ 38¢+163%win
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage Aurora WIN Reasoning: High-value underdog play relying on early-game laning aggression at 38c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-847448
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 10:17:17 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Aurora.
Dota 2: Iron Wing v Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Falcons @ 23¢-100%loss
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage Team Falcons WIN Reasoning: High-value live comeback play on Falcons' late-game draft potential at 23c. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-844369
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 09:49:33 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Counter-Strike: TYLOO v Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CTYLOO @ 65¢-100%loss
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C TYLOO WIN Reasoning: Clear head-to-head dominance in the Chinese derby and superior BO3 map pool tactical depth at 65c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-840597
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 09:43:48 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Counter-Strike: NIP v BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BBetBoom Team @ 65¢-100%loss
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B BetBoom Team WIN Reasoning: Superior map pool depth and firepower consistency in a BO3 format over NIP\'s rebuilding lineup at 65c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-839315
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 09:40:32 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew v Anna BlinkovaMananchaya Sawangkaew @ 54¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Anna Blinkova Mananchaya Sawangkaew WIN Reasoning: Strong momentum and superior court coverage to capitalize on Blinkova\'s unforced errors at 54c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845777
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 09:33:23 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida v Dylan DietrichDylan Dietrich @ 56¢-100%loss
Hamburg Challenger: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Dylan Dietrich Dylan Dietrich WIN Reasoning: Red-hot 2026 clay form (27-5) and strong recent Challenger momentum. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-841059
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 09:15:31 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Hamburg: Marvin Moeller v Niels McDonaldMarvin Moeller @ 59¢+69%win
Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonald Marvin Moeller WIN Reasoning: Solid 200+ rank gap and senior clay-court experience edge. #nfa https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-839343
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 09:10:25 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Marvin Moeller.
Brownsburg (Doubles): Broady/Wendelken v Lammons/Withrownot counted: no real market: nothing had traded on this doubles market (the book quoted 13c against an 87c ask and gamma still showed the untraded placeholder), so the entry cannot be tested against anything. Owner ruling, Aug 16: a market with no book does not score.Lammons/Withrow @ 87¢+15%win
Brownsburg Challenger (Doubles): Broady/Wendelken vs Lammons/Withrow Lammons/Withrow WIN Reasoning: Massive doubles specialist edge and elite ATP tour experience at 50c value. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-845760
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 01:23:00 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Lammons/Withrow.
Show all 32
Astana: Sergey Fomin v Masamichi ImamuraSergey Fomin @ 57¢+75%win
Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamura Sergey Fomin WIN Reasoning: Higher ATP rank tier and regional hard court advantage. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-843291
Posted
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 01:17:38 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Sergey Fomin.
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally v McCartney KesslerMcCartney Kessler @ 46¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kessler Prediction: McCartney Kessler WIN Reasoning: Mispriced underdog value based on head-to-head advantage. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836918
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 23:25:57 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Hamburg (Doubles): Kalender/Serdarusic v Gornes/WalkowKalender/Serdarusic @ 87¢+15%win
Hamburg Challenger (Doubles): Kalender/Serdarusic vs Gornes/Walkow Prediction: Kalender/Serdarusic WIN Reasoning: Strong recent form and synergy advantage. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-844231
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 23:21:37 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Kalender/Serdarusic.
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek v Karolina PliskovaKarolina Pliskova @ 48¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskova Prediction: Karolina Pliskova WIN Reasoning: High value entry at current line. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836885
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 23:14:31 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton v Brandon NakashimaBen Shelton @ 69¢ → sold 87.5¢+27%win
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction: Ben Shelton WIN Reasoning: Solid entry price for current form. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-842196
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 23:09:12 UTC
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 87.5¢, +18.5¢ on the 69¢ entry.
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda v Mattia BellucciZachary Svajda @ 63¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction: Zachary Svajda WIN Reasoning: Solid value at current entry price. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836923
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 23:02:33 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata v Gael MonfilsGael Monfils @ 57¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Gael Monfils Prediction: Gael Monfils WIN Reasoning: Good value at current market price. #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836920
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 22:57:49 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva v Katerina SiniakovaKaterina Siniakova @ 51¢void
Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina Siniakova Katerina Siniakova WIN Reasoning: Siniakova's deep WTA experience and superior court craft give her a clear edge against Timofeeva. Getting a battle-tested veteran at near 50-50 market pricing (51¢) offers excellent +EV value. #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836895
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 22:49:04 UTC
Outcome
Voided: the market did not settle as a win or a loss, so the call scores 0.
Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa v Panna UdvardyCristina Bucsa @ 48.5¢+106%win
Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardy Cristina Bucsa WIN Reasoning: Bucsa holds a strong hard-court advantage over Udvardy (who is primarily a clay specialist), and her superior baseline power on fast courts gives her the edge tied 3-3 in the deciding set. #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836938
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 22:22:33 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Cristina Bucsa.
National Bank Open (Doubles): Luz/Matos v Arevalo/PavicArevalo/Pavic @ 76¢-100%loss
National Bank Open (Doubles): Luz/Matos vs Arevalo/Pavic Arevalo/Pavic WIN Reason: Top-tier doubles specialists Arevalo/Pavic hold a massive skill and experience advantage on hard courts over clay-specialist pair Luz/Matos, making 78¢ a solid high-probability pick. #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-840902
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 22:00:23 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.
Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone v Raphael CollignonMariano Navone @ 74¢+35%win
Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignon Mariano Navone WIN Reason: Navone is currently leading 4-3 in the first set with solid first-serve consistency and zero double faults, yet his price on Jupiter remains undervalued/mispriced at 49¢. #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836909
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 21:35:49 UTC
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Mariano Navone.
Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga v Jan-Lennard StruffRoman Andres Burruchaga @ 57.5¢-100%loss
Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struff Roman Andres Burruchaga WIN #NFA #DYOR https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836906
Posted
Thu, 13 Aug 2026 21:07:28 UTC
Outcome
Lost: the market resolved against this pick.