Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Original Discord message, word for word
Sports - WorldCup Argentina vs Austria Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals (Totals) Reasoning: Argentina does not play without goals, Austria also scored goals against Jordan in their first match. I am expecting goals here too.
Record
- Posted
- Mon, 22 Jun 2026 16:15:38 UTC
- Event start
- Mon, 22 Jun 2026 17:00:00 UTC
- Entry
- 75¢ → sold 68¢ (closed early; scored on the sale price)
Outcome
Closed early by the caller at 68¢, -7¢ on the 75¢ entry.
v1 grading note: Jun 22 · “Sports - WorldCup / Argentina vs Austria / Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals (Totals) / Reasoning: Argentina does not play without goals, Austria also scored goals against Jordan in their first match. I am expecting goals here too.” · soccer total (Over 1.5 = 2+ goals) · CLOSED EARLY (1518690276825239552, MrD3gen reposted same prediction): “Over 1.5 at 75c, the bet is closed at 68c with a small loss” · graded on realized PnL per early-exit rule: stated fill 75¢, exited 68¢ → loss (~9%). Market itself hit (Argentina 2-0 Austria FT, Messi 38ʹ + 90ʹ+5ʹ pen — ESPN FT + gamma exact-score 2-0 @0.985) but he sold before resolution.
Verification details
- Message id
1518650686970007795open in Discord ↗ (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-351755jup.ag ↗- Capture
- Jun 22 · “Sports - WorldCup / Argentina vs Austria / Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals (Totals) / Reasoning: Argentina does not play without goals, Austria also scored goals against Jordan in their first match. I am expecting goals here too.” · soccer total (Over 1.5 = 2+ goals) · CLOSED EARLY (1518690276825239552, MrD3gen reposted same prediction): “Over 1.5 at 75c, the bet is closed at 68c with a small loss” · graded on realized PnL per early-exit rule: stated fill 75¢, exited 68¢ → loss (~9%). Market itself hit (Argentina 2-0 Austria FT, Messi 38ʹ + 90ʹ+5ʹ pen — ESPN FT + gamma exact-score 2-0 @0.985) but he sold before resolution.
#228). Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.