surfmorJUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 1
VERIFIED CALL
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen
Taylor Fritz
ENTRY
62¢
RESULT
+61%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-08-16 · 13:19 UTC
Nº 0001265R
WIN
+61%
702813733004
JUPCALLERS.FUN
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Original Discord message, word for word
Tennis: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen (BO3) Reasoning: All models favor Fritz due to his superior first-serve weapon, top-10 pedigree, and explosive plus-one baseline game on fast Cincinnati courts. The main divergence lies in margin: older batch analysis rightly highlights Michelsen's recent H2H resistance and form, keeping this tight. However, Fritz's serve hold reliability in best-of-three Masters conditions gives him the decisive edge in clutch tiebreak moments. Reconciling market value with Fritz's court-fit advantage yields a calibrated 65% win probability. Match winner Taylor Fritz @62c #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-851032
Record
- Posted
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 13:19:32 UTC
- Event start
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 18:30:00 UTC
- Entry
- 62¢
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Taylor Fritz.
gamma POLY-851032 "Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen" outcome "Taylor Fritz" price 0.9995 uma=proposed closed=false
graded Sun, 16 Aug 2026 19:54:10 UTC
Verification details
- Message id
1538537702813733004open in Discord ↗ (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-851032jup.ag ↗- Capture
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen"; entry provisionally from the caller's stated 62¢ (order-book history unreachable at boarding)
#1265). Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.