surfmorJUPITER PREDICTIONSSEASON 1
VERIFIED CALL
Cincinnati Open: Alex Michelsen v Jesper de Jong
Alex Michelsen
ENTRY
81¢
RESULT
+23%
CALLER
@surfmor
PLACED
2026-08-14 · 03:42 UTC
Nº 0001148R
WIN
+23%
773843374139
JUPCALLERS.FUN
Verified: message id, word-for-word text, market link and entry price all captured when the call was posted.
Original Discord message, word for word
Tennis: Alex Michelsen vs Jesper de Jong (BO3) Reasoning: All models strongly agree that Michelsen holds a decisive edge due to ranking tier (#42 vs #105), potent serve-and-backhand baseline play, and superior surface comfort on fast American hard courts compared to de Jong\'s clay-oriented grinding. The models slightly shade below the market line (80.5%) to around 75-80% to account for standard best-of-three variance. With universal alignment on player profiles and tactical matchups, a calibrated estimate of 78% strongly favors Michelsen. Match winner Alex Michelsen @81c Confidence 75/100 #nfa #dyor https://jup.ag/prediction/POLY-836925
Record
- Posted
- Fri, 14 Aug 2026 03:42:45 UTC
- Event start
- Fri, 14 Aug 2026 18:55:00 UTC
- Entry
- 81¢
Outcome
Won: the market resolved for Alex Michelsen.
gamma POLY-836925 "Cincinnati Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jesper de Jong" outcome "Alex Michelsen" price 1 uma=resolved closed=true
graded Fri, 14 Aug 2026 21:25:27 UTC
Verification details
- Message id
1537667773843374139open in Discord ↗ (requires server membership)- Market
POLY-836925jup.ag ↗- Capture
- auto-captured: #nfa + jup.ag link + parsed side; event "Cincinnati Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jesper de Jong"; boarded from review queue (was: linked POLY-836925: no parseable side and no single outcome mentioned); hindsight guard cleared by the order book at post time (80.5c, 35s old); entry provisionally from the caller's stated 81¢ (order-book history unreachable at boarding)
#1148). Corrections are published, never silent: see methodology.