WillMcFletcher
Losses 1
- Cepeda Castro — Colombia Presidential Election · Jun 1 · aped at 19¢ · LOSS: 1st round over — de la Espriella won (~98.9¢). Jupiter isLive=false, Cepeda pinned ~1.4¢; gamma Cepeda Yes ~0.85¢ · msg-100%@19¢
Outcomes verified against public results. Use the General / World Cup toggle in the header to switch which calls this profile shows. Market links open the Jupiter prediction market; message links open the original call in #prediction-alpha (Jupiter Discord membership required). PnL = return if you’d entered the backed side when the call was posted and held to resolution (@¢ = entry price; win → 100¢, loss → 0¢). Profit = units won with an equal 1u stake per scored call. Losses are −100% (−1u) regardless of entry; wins use the Jupiter Prediction price at call time where available. Because a loss costs a full unit while a win on a heavy favorite pays only a little, a high win-rate can still net negative profit — success% and profit measure different things.